Analysis: Multiple indicators signal a bottoming out, with some analysts predicting Bitcoin could restart its bull market between September and October.

Although Bitcoin recently pulled back to around $62,000 amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions, some market analysts believe this bear market could end between September and October this year, with the bull market expected to start earlier than the market’s general consensus. Trader Ryker noted that while the market generally expects the next bull run to begin in 2027, market makers typically position themselves in advance, so he predicts Bitcoin will start rallying in September or October this year. Trader Jelle pointed out that Bitcoin’s weekly chart has formed a "death cross"—a signal that historically occurs at the end of bear markets, suggesting the market may have entered a new accumulation phase. However, in the short term, Bitcoin still faces pressure. Analysts say $64,000 remains a key resistance level; if it fails to break through, a further pullback to around $57,800 is possible. Additionally, this week the market will get U.S. June CPI and PPI data, as well as testimony from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh before Congress. Meanwhile, escalating U.S.-Iran tensions and instability in the Strait of Hormuz have boosted oil prices and inflation expectations, which may continue to roil risk assets including crypto assets. On-chain data from CryptoQuant shows that mid-sized Bitcoin addresses holding 100 to 1,000 BTC net sold approximately 67,000 BTC on July 13, marking the largest such distribution since February this year. However, the firm noted that similar distribution activity historically occurs just before price rebounds. While the current signal is not enough to confirm a market bottom, it is approaching the historical range where a major shift in mid-sized investor behavior typically takes place.