Wintermute: Bitcoin may drop to $59,000 in the short term as market liquidity continues to tighten.
2 hours ago
Wintermute’s over-the-counter (OTC) trading desk noted in a report that Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) are gradually testing the lower boundary of their recent trading ranges, with BTC potentially retracing to around $59,000 in the short term. Options market pricing indicates BTC’s short-term expected trading range is $61,242–$63,563, while ETH’s is $1,606–$1,694, with implied volatility of roughly 1.9% and 2.7% respectively. The current market structure is weak, with no new buying inflows into ETFs. Summer liquidity declines, combined with macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties, have increased asset correlations and led to convergent price movements. It identifies $59,000 as a key support level, and notes that this week will see critical event-driven factors including Federal Reserve inflation data and month-end option expirations.
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