Lookonchain APP

App Store

CryptoQuant: Bitcoin's April surge was mainly driven by 'speculation,' with a risk of a pullback

1 hours ago

On May 3, CryptoQuant Head of Research Julio Moreno noted in a report: "Perpetual futures contract demand was the sole driver of Bitcoin’s price gains in April, while apparent spot demand continued to shrink. Historically, this pattern has emerged in bear markets—and uptrends tied to it often struggle to hold." Moreno added that the divergence between surging futures demand and fading spot demand is among the clearest on-chain signals, indicating the rally is far more speculative than rooted in structural growth. He emphasized the price jump is fueled primarily by leverage, not fresh Bitcoin capital inflows. Moreno also warned: "Historically, this type of structure lacks the underpinnings to sustain a price rally. When futures positions begin unwinding, a price pullback typically follows as a correction." CryptoQuant noted the current perpetual futures-driven demand structure mirrors that of the early 2022 bear market. While this doesn’t guarantee the same outcome now, the setup carries "significant downside risks."
Relevant content

Buffett: I've never seen people with such a strong gambling mentality as now

On May 3rd, during an interview with CNBC, Warren Buffett described the market as a “church with a gambling aspect” — drawing a clear line between traditional value investing and the current fervor for short-term options trading and growing market speculation. “People can switch back and forth between the church and the casino,” he said. “I’d say more people are in the church than the casino, but the casino has gotten really attractive lately.” He added: “If you’re buying or selling one-day options, that’s not investing — nor is it speculation. It’s gambling.” Buffett noted that current “gambling-like” market sentiment has hit a peak. “We’ve never seen people with such a strong gambling mindset as we do right now,” he stated. He also cited a recent case involving a U.S. soldier who allegedly used classified information tied to a military operation in Venezuela to make roughly $400,000 in the options market. The U.S. Department of Justice is currently prosecuting the case. “Wit

2 minutes ago

Berkshire Hathaway CEO: Large-Scale Data Center Construction to Bring Huge Growth Opportunity to Utility Industry

On May 2, at Berkshire Hathaway’s annual shareholders meeting—its first since Warren Buffett stepped down as CEO earlier this year—new chief Greg Abel noted the company has long taken a cautious stance on using and managing artificial intelligence, in stark contrast to peers actively reshaping or rebranding their businesses around AI. “AI has to deliver incremental value to our business,” Abel said. “We won’t use it just for the sake of using it.” Abel added Berkshire will deploy AI in a narrow scope, with a focus on generating tangible value. He also noted the technology carries certain risks for society, and the firm will factor those into its AI efforts. Meanwhile, data center construction and their grid electricity demands are creating major growth opportunities for utility companies—though energy demand remains well below peak load capacity. Ahead of the meeting, Berkshire’s latest financial report showed its cash reserves hit a record high of nearly $400 billion.

2 minutes ago

Buffett: Current Environment Not Ideal for Berkshire's Capital Deployment

On May 3, Warren Buffett told CNBC in an interview: “The current market environment isn’t ideal for deploying Berkshire Hathaway’s funds.” He noted Berkshire’s top-tier management team is capable of both seizing opportunities and waiting patiently for the right targets. Berkshire Hathaway hosted its annual shareholder meeting on May 2 — the first since Buffett stepped down as CEO earlier this year, handing the role to Greg Abel. Ahead of the meeting, the company’s latest financial filing revealed its cash hoard hit a record $400 billion. Buffett added that while outsiders might see Berkshire as inactive at times, the company acts decisively when the moment is right. He acknowledged the reluctance to deploy large sums of capital stems in part from sky-high overall market valuations. When asked when the right time to invest would be, Buffett said it would come when “no one is willing to pick up the phone” — a sign the opportunity will naturally present itself.

2 minutes ago

US Media: Iran Does Not Insist on Halt to Hormuz Blockade Before Direct Talks

May 3 (Xinhua) — U.S. media reported Wednesday (May 2) that Iran has dropped its demand that the U.S. lift its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz prior to face-to-face talks between representatives of the two countries, according to Tehran’s latest negotiation proposal.

2 minutes ago

With BTC surpassing $78,000, the "pension-usdt.eth" whale's BTC short position's unrealized loss has expanded to $10 million.

On May 3rd, per monitoring from HyperInsight, as Bitcoin (BTC) continued its rally and broke above $78,000, the BTC short position of the "pension-usdt.eth" whale exceeded $78 million—pushing its unrealized loss higher to roughly $10 million. The short was opened at an average price of $67,992, with a liquidation price of $100,667.6. It has been held since April 2nd (one month) with no trading activity in between. Additionally, the whale holds an ETH short position worth approximately $46 million, currently facing an unrealized loss of around $3.4 million.

2 minutes ago

Wasabi Protocol: Users Can Now Securely Interact with Smart Contracts and Withdraw Remaining Funds

May 3 — Wasabi Protocol issued a security incident update confirming users can now safely interact with the protocol’s smart contract to withdraw remaining funds. The project team noted they are working diligently behind the scenes to push forward with related follow-up work. However, since the incident remains under active investigation, they cannot disclose additional details at this time. They will share the latest developments with the community as soon as circumstances allow.

2 minutes ago