Lookonchain APP

App Store

Bitcoin Momentum Slows Down as Market Shifts Focus to Real Economic Recovery Progress

2 hours ago

April 17: Bitcoin briefly topped $76,000 before paring gains, extending this week’s volatile trend. The ~10% jump spurred by US-Iran ceasefire news is fading, with markets shifting from emotion-driven moves to verifying signs of actual economic recovery. Institutional outlooks note a ceasefire alone no longer supports further upside in risk assets. Investors are now focused on tangible progress: restored energy supplies, reduced oil risk premiums, and cooling inflation. The key variable still hinges on oil transport recovery in the Strait of Hormuz, which handled ~20% of global oil shipments pre-conflict. In energy markets, WTI crude has dropped to ~$87.50, while Brent hovers near $90—signaling market caution about supply recovery. Derivatives data shows Bitcoin and Ethereum’s 30-day implied volatility (IV) continues to decline, suggesting markets expect clearer macro progress short-term. Meanwhile, Solana and DOGE futures open interest hit multi-week highs, pointing to rising leverage demand that could amplify price volatility risks. Technically, Bitcoin has a potential double top near $76,000. A break below the $73,300 neckline could send it lower to $70,000; a decisive break above $76,000 may open upside to $88,000. Overall, markets remain in a “partial recovery” phase—risk appetite is improving but not fully confirmed. Watch closely for updates on energy supply recovery and macroeconomic data shifts ahead.
Relevant content

Iranian Foreign Minister: Commercial Vessels' Passage in Hormuz Strait Now Open

On April 17, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said commercial vessel passage through the Strait of Hormuz has been reopened. Iran’s Ports and Maritime Organization, citing the Lebanon ceasefire agreement, announced that all commercial vessels will have full access to the strait for the remainder of the ceasefire period, and the transit route will stay the same as previously announced.

1 minutes ago

The SEC Sends a Turning Point Signal: Strengthening Collaboration and Shifting Crypto Regulation to an "Innovation First" Approach

On April 17, U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Chair Paul Atkins said in his first official podcast that U.S. crypto regulation is at a key turning point, shifting its broader approach from enforcement-first to innovation-focused. On the podcast’s debut episode, Atkins joined Commissioners Hester Peirce and Mark Uyeda to signal policy priorities: building a more crypto- and fintech-friendly regulatory landscape to draw businesses to operate in the U.S. Policy-wise, the SEC has rolled out several adjustments: acknowledging most crypto assets aren’t securities, exempting some DeFi platforms, and dismissing or settling enforcement cases against firms like Ripple, Coinbase, and Binance. Data shows SEC crypto enforcement actions fell ~22% in fiscal 2025, with fines plummeting from $8.2 billion to $2.7 billion. The agency also admitted past crypto enforcement had, to some degree, “created misleading expectations.” Market watchers say this regulatory shift could open t

1 minutes ago

U.S. Media: U.S. Plans to Unfreeze $200 Billion in Funds in Exchange for Iran's Abandonment of Enriched Uranium

Axios reported on April 17 that two U.S. officials and two sources with knowledge of the talks said the U.S. and Iran are negotiating a three-page plan to end the conflict, with one discussed point being the U.S. unfreezing $200 billion in frozen Iranian funds in exchange for Iran surrendering its enriched uranium stockpile. Per the two sources, the U.S. initially proposed unfreezing $60 billion for humanitarian aid early in the talks, while Iran sought $270 billion. The latest figure under discussion is $200 billion, one U.S. official said, adding it was a U.S. proposal. Another U.S. official called the "cash for uranium" idea "one of many topics being discussed." Meanwhile, the U.S. is demanding Iran agree to send all its nuclear materials to the U.S., but Iran only will agree to dilute the material inside its borders. A proposed compromise calls for some highly enriched uranium to be sent to a third country (not necessarily the U.S.), while the rest is diluted under internatio

1 minutes ago

Kraken's Parent Company to Invest Up to $550 Million to Acquire Bitnomial, Accelerating U.S. Derivatives Expansion

April 17th — Payward, Kraken’s parent company, announced it will acquire crypto derivatives platform Bitnomial in a cash-and-stock transaction valued at up to $550 million. The acquisition will grant Payward the three core licenses required for a U.S.-compliant derivatives business — broker, clearinghouse, and exchange licenses — significantly shortening its compliance timeline in the U.S. market. Payward’s Co-CEO noted that the derivatives market’s foundation lies in clearing infrastructure, and Bitnomial’s strengths in settlement, collateralization, and 24/7 trading are the key value drivers of this deal. On the business front, the integrated platform will combine Bitnomial’s compliance framework with Kraken and NinjaTrader’s liquidity and distribution capabilities to launch U.S. market products regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), including spot leverage, perpetual contracts, and options. Additionally, the transaction will strengthen Payward’s B2

1 minutes ago

SpaceX Prepares for IPO by Unlocking Early Employee Stock Options

April 17 (Bloomberg) -- SpaceX has moved up the vesting timeline for employee stock incentives to as soon as next week, shifting from the original May plan amid its impending IPO process. Insiders say the move aims to ease employees’ uncertainty about how many shares they’ll be able to sell at listing, giving them clearer liquidity expectations once the company goes public. The broader market views this adjustment as further proof SpaceX is accelerating its IPO push. Previous reports noted the company plans to file its IPO application as early as May, with pricing targeted for mid-June and a valuation target exceeding $2 trillion—potentially making it one of the largest IPOs in history. Overall, early stock unlocking is a typical pre-IPO employee incentive management step, designed to stabilize team expectations and prepare in advance for potential large-scale liquidity release.

1 minutes ago

The Escalation of the Iran Situation Impacts the Tech Industry, U.S. Tech Giants Increase Lobbying Efforts to Address Risks

April 17 (CNBC) — As the Iran conflict escalates, U.S. tech companies are ramping up lobbying efforts with the government to address risks including Middle East asset security, supply chain disruptions, and infrastructure damage. Sources say the firms are engaging with both U.S. domestic and Middle Eastern officials—including the White House and Pentagon—to push for policy support and craft contingency plans to reduce war-related impacts on their operations. The conflict has already hit the tech industry: In March, AWS’s UAE data center was targeted in a drone attack, causing widespread digital service outages across the region. Earlier this month, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) issued additional threats to target U.S. tech firms operating in the Middle East, including NVIDIA, Apple, Microsoft, and Google. Supply chain secondary impacts are now emerging: Conflict-related export restrictions on key chip manufacturing materials—like helium—are adding pressure to AI

1 minutes ago