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Analysis: Bitcoin ETF Holder Cost Averaging at Around $74.2K, Current Market Structure Yet to Be Optimized

2 hours ago

On April 15, cryptocurrency quantitative analyst @AxelAdlerJr noted that Bitcoin recently touched the **average entry cost for U.S. Bitcoin ETF holders**—$74,200. Should Bitcoin hold above this level consistently, ETF holders will shift from a loss position to breakeven (neutral). A drop below it, however, signals the market structure remains weak, with downside pressure persisting. On the other hand, Short-Term Holders (STH) have a cost basis of roughly $83,734—this is the key resistance level in the current market. The analyst argues Bitcoin’s market structure will see more meaningful improvement only when the gap between the ETF holders’ cost basis and the STH cost basis narrows further.
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