Polymarket predicts a 40% chance of "Bitcoin Reaching $100,000 This Year."

On March 15, Michael Saylor—founder of Strategy—once again shared information related to the Bitcoin Tracker. Per past practice, Strategy typically discloses details of its additional Bitcoin holdings the day after releasing such related news.

March 15th: The oil market is bracing for potential sharp swings next week after a U.S. strike on Iran’s key oil export hub, Kharg Island—ramping up concerns over Middle East supply disruptions. U.S. President Trump warned that attacks on energy infrastructure could escalate further if Iran blocks the Strait of Hormuz, while Tehran threatened retaliation against U.S.-linked energy facilities. Brent crude jumped 11% last week, briefly hitting $119.50 a barrel amid escalating tensions. Analysts expect oil price volatility to rise further as the status of Kharg Island remains uncertain. Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz is nearly at a standstill. The waterway handles a large share of global oil shipments; blockages here would squeeze global energy supplies and push fuel prices higher worldwide.

On March 15, OKX founder and CEO Star addressed the "hacker attack incident by the Wuhan Anjun Technology team exploiting plugin vulnerabilities." He clarified two key points: 1. The incident does **not** stem from a security vulnerability in the OKX Web3 Wallet. Instead, hackers compromised users’ devices via trojan horse software, tampered with webpage JS code to implant malicious hooks, or monitored keyboard inputs to steal locally stored encryption files and passwords. 2. The OKX Web3 Wallet is a **fully self-hosted wallet**—private keys and passwords only reside on the user’s own device, and OKX has no access to or control over user assets. If a user’s device is already compromised, no wallet (including MetaMask) can guarantee security; this is analogous to a thief being able to operate your computer and view all your keyboard inputs. Users are advised to: avoid installing software/plugins from unknown sources, regularly check devices for security risks, and safeguard the

March 15 — South Korean cryptocurrency exchange Bithumb has received a pre-notice from the Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU) that it faces a 6-month partial business suspension for violating anti-money laundering (AML) obligations under the Specific Financial Information Act, along with a CEO accountability warning. South Korean financial authorities will convene an AML sanctions review committee on March 16 to finalize the penalty. The expected penalty would exceed the prior enforcement against Upbit operator Dunamu, which was fined 35.2 billion South Korean won and ordered a 3-month partial suspension for similar violations. Due to Bithumb’s larger scale of non-compliance, the industry widely predicts its fine will set a historic high. Bithumb noted it is currently in the pre-notification phase and will fully detail its improvement efforts through subsequent formal procedures.

The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision next Thursday, March 15, at 2:00 ET. Per CME’s FedWatch Tool: - March meeting: 1.9% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut; 98.1% probability of no policy change. - By April: 0.1% chance of a cumulative 50-basis-point cut; 5.8% chance of a cumulative 25-basis-point cut; 94.1% chance of no change.

As of March 15, LookOnChain monitoring shows ShapeShift founder Erik Voorhees has spent 17.75 million USDT over the past five days to purchase 8,576 ETH at an average price of $2,069. One year ago, he sold 12,886 ETH at an average of $3,324, netting approximately $42.83 million. He currently holds 26.77 million USDT and may continue to increase his ETH holdings.