If Bitcoin drops below $65,000, the mainstream CEX long liquidation intensity will reach 736 million.

Per CME’s FedWatch as of March 1: - Probability of a 25bps Fed rate cut in March: 7.4% - Probability of no rate change in March: 92.6% Cumulative rate cut probabilities by April (per FedWatch): - 50bps total cut: 1.4% - 25bps total cut: 23.3% - No change: 75.4% ### Notes on American English/Alert Style: 1. Used **"per"** (common in financial alerts instead of "according to") for brevity. 2. Abbreviated **"bps"** (basis points) – standard shorthand in U.S. financial media. 3. Broke into bullet points for scannability (key for real-time alerts). 4. Simplified repetitive phrases ("cumulative rate cut" → "total cut") for flow. 5. Added **"as of"** to clarify the time stamp (standard in market updates). 6. Kept FedWatch capitalized (proper noun for CME’s tool) without unnecessary quotes.

On March 1, Opinion — the BSC ecosystem prediction platform — announced that its S1 snapshot has been completed and S2 has officially launched. From today through March 15 at 15:59 UTC, users will enjoy a 50% fee discount for the two-week window. Additionally, PTS earned during the recent Feb. 15–28 period will be doubled and credited to both S1 and S2.

March 1 – KCM Trade Chief Market Analyst Tim Waterer noted that gold could see stronger-than-usual demand at Monday’s market open. Given the potential length of the conflict, possible involvement of other nations, inflation worries and other risks, gold is expected to reassert itself as the top safe-haven asset. Equities and other risk assets may come under selling pressure as investors seek the safest havens, with gold likely topping that list. (FX678)

March 1: Iranian Foreign Minister said Iran currently has no intention to close the Strait of Hormuz or disrupt navigation in the strait. A new Supreme Leader could be elected in one to two days, and regime change is unlikely. (FXStreet)

On March 1st, data from Onchain Lens shows a crypto address withdrew 384 PAXG from Binance—valued at roughly $2.07 million.

On the afternoon of March 1 (local time), the Public Relations Department of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) released Announcement No. 7. The statement said the U.S. aircraft carrier Abraham Lincoln was struck by four Iranian ballistic missiles. It added that Iran’s armed forces’ robust strikes against enemy military assets have entered a new phase, with both land and sea set to become “graveyards for aggressors.” Source: CCTV International News