Lookonchain APP

App Store

Peter Brandt suggests Bitcoin may not have bottomed, unlikely to see a "real bottom" before October; predicts escalating market divergence

2026.02.13 22:12:32

**February 13 Crypto Market Update: Analyst Insights & Polymarket Probabilities** Veteran trader and technical analyst Peter Brandt—who correctly called the 2018 Bitcoin crash—says Bitcoin hasn’t hit its real bottom yet, noting the actual bottom might not arrive until October 2026. He’d earlier forecast Bitcoin could slide to the $60k range in Q3 2026; on February 6, Bitcoin briefly dipped to roughly $62,700. Brandt adds: In the short term, prices could see upward swings but might still pull back to the $50k range this year. Meanwhile, Arthur Hayes argues Ethereum’s price will likely trade sideways in its current range until U.S. dollar liquidity improves. As of press time, Ethereum trades at ~$1,941—down more than 40% over the past 30 days. MN Trading Capital founder Michaël van de Poppe counters, calling Ethereum now in an attractive accumulation zone. He notes stablecoin trading volume has jumped roughly 200% over the last 18 months. **Polymarket Probability Data:** - By end-February: 41% chance Bitcoin drops below $60k; 29% chance it rebounds to $75k. - 2026 Bitcoin outlook: 23% chance to top $120k; just 10% shot at $150k+. - 2026 Ethereum outlook: 76% chance to hit $1,500; 23% chance to fall to $1,600.
Relevant content

Trump: Not considering launching another strike on Iran after the U.S. midterm elections.

When US President Trump was asked whether he would consider launching another military strike against Iran after the midterm elections, he explicitly said no. Iran requested the US to stop targeting its leaders, and the US agreed. "We have fought wars with Iran and won. This regarding Iran is not a war. We barely fought, and things are going smoothly, which is why oil prices are falling."

52 minutes ago

Vance: US-Iran talks make progress, no timeline has been set for resuming military strikes.

US Vice President Vance said the United States has held multiple productive talks with Iran, making some progress in the negotiations and will assess whether further breakthroughs can be achieved. Vance revealed that he discussed the Iran issue with U.S. President Trump about an hour ago. At present, the U.S. has not set a deadline for resuming military strikes against Iran.

52 minutes ago

Trump: Not considering another strike on Iran after the U.S. midterm elections

When asked whether he would consider launching another military strike against Iran after the midterm elections, US President Donald Trump explicitly said he would not. Iran requested the US to cease targeting its leaders, and the US agreed. “We’ve fought Iran, we won. This (about Iran) is not a war. We hardly fought. Things are going well, which is why oil prices are down,” he stated.

52 minutes ago

Mercado Hacker Address Tracking: The hacker stole 3,680 ETH, 106 BTC, and $8 million in stablecoins.

Onchain Lens reports that Brazilian crypto exchange Mercado Bitcoin was hacked, with $46.5 million in stolen crypto traced to the hacker’s addresses. The hacker currently holds the funds across 46 addresses, including 3,680 ETH, 106 BTC, and $8 million in stablecoins.

52 minutes ago

Bloomberg: After the $6.3 billion crypto theft, Binance offers higher rebates to select market makers to maintain liquidity.

According to Bloomberg, after Binance suffered a record $630 million hack, the crypto exchange has increased incentives for some market makers trading on its platform to boost trading activity. People familiar with the matter said that shortly after last week’s security breach, the firm reached out to smaller trading firms, offering higher rebates in spot and futures markets. Per its website, Binance categorizes market makers into different tiers based on the liquidity they provide. Firms contributing a larger share of trading volume qualify for higher tiers, which typically come with larger rebates to lower their transaction costs. Under the one-week promotion, Tiers 2 and 3 market makers will receive the same rebate rates as Tier 4 participants, the platform’s highest tier, the sources added. The changes are designed to give smaller liquidity providers stronger financial incentives to quote on the exchange and maintain deeper order books, the sources noted. A Binance spokesperson said the exchange’s latest post-breach moves help calm the market, adding: “As we prioritize clear communication, we took immediate steps to preserve our core strength: liquidity.” Market makers play a critical role by continuously providing bid and ask quotes; the liquidity they supply allows other investors to trade without triggering sharp price swings. According to Talos, within 24 hours of the hack, Bitcoin order book depth on Binance dropped roughly 30%, with depth within a 1% price range falling from $45 million to $32 million. Market depth measures how much trading volume can be absorbed without causing significant price volatility.

52 minutes ago

Hyperliquid's second AQAv2 reserve revenue distribution is scheduled to take place on November 3rd.

Hyperliquid’s second AQAv2 reserve revenue distribution is scheduled for November 3, totaling approximately 15.3 million USDC, which may provide the Assistance Fund with new "ammunition" for HYPE repurchases.

52 minutes ago

Popular tokens

BitcoinEthereumHyperliquidSolanaTRONBNBTetherAaveXRPPepeFartcoinOndoJupiterUniswapBonkPendleEthenaArbitrumAvalancheLidoChainlinkPolygonDogecoinCardano