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Polymarket's prediction market on "Bitcoin hitting $100,000 in January" sees probability drop to 25%

2 hours ago

On January 19, Polymarket’s odds for the prediction “Bitcoin will rise to $100,000 in January” dropped to 25%—down from 43% the previous day. Additionally, the platform lists the odds of Bitcoin hitting $105,000 at 8%, falling to $85,000 at 21%, and dropping to $80,000 at 8%.
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X Product Manager: X Creator revenue is now based solely on Home timeline views, Replies no longer contribute to revenue calculation

On January 19, Nikita Bier—X Product Lead and Solana Ecosystem Advisor—addressed user concerns that X’s in-house creator incentive program had harmed reply quality on popular tweets, and that bot/spam issues were being blamed on the InfoFi platform. Bier stated, “That’s not true. Replies are no longer included in creator revenue calculations—only Home Timeline view counts count.”

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Binance Wallet: SentientAGI (SENT) Pre-TGE Contribution Threshold is 225 Alpha Points

Binance Wallet announced on January 19 that its SentientAGI (SENT) Phase 4 Pre-TGE Prime Sale will take place on January 19, 2026, from 12:00 to 14:00 UTC. To participate, users must hold at least 225 Alpha Points—participation will consume 15 Alpha Points.

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Korean Customs Service Busts Illegal Foreign Exchange Case Using Virtual Assets, Involving 140 Billion Korean Won

**Jan 19 – The Seoul Customs Office under South Korea’s Customs Service has referred a large-scale illegal foreign exchange case involving virtual assets to prosecutors.** An investigation found the criminal group engaged in illegal forex transactions through domestic and foreign virtual asset accounts over the past four years, totaling approximately 140 billion South Korean won ($95 million). The group collected fees for the activity and allegedly violated the Foreign Exchange Transactions Act. The Customs Office noted the group gathered customer funds via methods like WeChat Pay and Alipay, purchased virtual assets in multiple overseas countries, transferred them to wallets in South Korea, then converted them to Korean won for cash withdrawal. Three people are involved in the case, including a 30-something Chinese man. The group assisted with forex for various purposes—trade payments, duty-free purchases, tuition fees, and funds of unknown origin—provided customers paid a fe

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「ZEC Whale Short Seller」 Takes Profit on MON Short, Gains Over $680,000

On January 19, per monitoring from HyperInsight (via https://t.me/HyperInsight), the whale address 0xd475…—dubbed the "ZEC Largest Short" holder—partially closed out a segment of its MON short position. The whale reduced its MON short by 23,058,800 tokens, valued at roughly $623,300. Following this move, the whale’s remaining MON short position remains worth approximately $1.8853 million, with a floating profit of about $685,500 (a 109.09% return). Its liquidation price for the MON position is $0.475. This address gained recognition for establishing a massive ZEC short: it began shorting ZEC at $184, once facing a floating loss of $21 million before successfully turning that loss into a profit. Currently, the whale still holds large short positions on both ETH and MON.

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Analyst: Bitcoin Hash Rate Drops to 4-Month Low as Miners Redirect Computing Power to Higher-Profit AI Compute Services

**Bitcoin Hashrate Drops Below 1,000 EH/s for First Time Since Mid-September: Analysts Link Slump to AI Demand Growth** As of Jan. 19, Bitcoin’s network hashrate has fallen below 1,000 exahashes per second (EH/s) for the first time since mid-September, with analysts connecting the decline to sustained market interest in artificial intelligence (AI), Cointelegraph reported. Data from Hashrate Index shows the cryptocurrency’s 7-day moving average hashrate currently sits at 993 EH/s, having dipped below the 1,000 EH/s mark last Saturday. The metric is now down nearly 15% from its 7-day average peak of 1,157 EH/s recorded on Oct. 19. In a Monday post on X, Leon Lyu—CEO and founder of mining firm StandardHash—attributed the hashrate drop to Bitcoin miners reallocating computing power to AI services in pursuit of higher profit margins.

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「Never Short」 Trader Liquidates Two Consecutive ETH Longs, Loses $38,000

On January 19, Hyperinsight (via its Telegram channel @HyperInsight) reports the "Never Short" trader (address 0xe5416) liquidated two ETH long positions today, totaling a $38,000 loss. The address currently holds no open positions and is sitting on the sidelines. ### Notes on American English adaptation: 1. **Conciseness**: Replaced redundant "according to... monitoring" with direct "Hyperinsight (via...) reports" (common in US financial alerts). 2. **Colloquialism**: Used "sitting on the sidelines" (more natural in US casual/financial context than "waiting on the sidelines"). 3. **Clarity**: Added "open positions" (standard for unclosed trades in US markets, avoids ambiguity of "no positions"). 4. **Flow**: Rearranged to lead with key action (liquidation) before context, aligning with US news brevity norms.

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