Lookonchain APP

App Store

Analysis: The main reasons for the current Bitcoin price drop are the weakening of the early-year rally momentum, increased safe-haven sentiment ahead of the U.S. employment data release, and outflows from ETFs.

2026.01.08 21:29:25

Jan. 8 (Decrypt) — As Bitcoin continues to slide, New Year’s optimism has nearly faded, with most gains from the first week of the year already retraced. Per CoinGecko data, Bitcoin is down 2.4% over the past 24 hours, currently trading at $89,881. Total crypto liquidations in the same period exceed $477 million. Illia Otychenko, Chief Analyst at CEX.IO, noted: “Bitcoin’s drop below $90,000 signals weakening momentum in the New Year’s market. Initial capital inflows in early 2026 and modestly bullish geopolitical news provided early support, but that momentum wasn’t enough to sustain a continued rebound.” Wenny Cai, COO of SynFutures, said: “Despite a strong start to 2026 and ongoing structural positives, Bitcoin has consistently struggled to hold above $90,000 — a trend driven by multiple factors. She pointed to rising global risk aversion, as investors await key macroeconomic indicators (including U.S. employment data) that are curbing risk appetite. This risk-off behavior has kept Bitcoin oscillating in the upper $90,000 range and occasionally dipping below the mark.” Otychenko also noted that U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw fresh outflows, amplifying the recent pullback — with one day’s net outflows hitting $243 million.
Relevant content

Stablecoin issuer Tether has completed its largest-ever full financial audit, with KPMG issuing an unqualified opinion, showing reserves exceeding liabilities by $6.814 billion.

USDT issuer Tether announced it has completed a full independent audit of its 2025 fiscal year financial statements by KPMG U.S., receiving an unqualified audit opinion—the most positive outcome an independent auditor can issue. Dubbed "the largest first-time financial audit in history", the engagement saw KPMG conduct comprehensive substantive testing on Tether’s balance sheet, reserve asset composition, outstanding token liabilities, income statement, changes in equity, and cash flow statement. Critically, instead of relying solely on custodian reports, KPMG physically counted every gold bar held by Tether to verify their existence and identifying details. The audit confirmed Tether’s reserves exceeded its liabilities by $6.814 billion as of December 31, 2025. Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino stated: "Critics have for years claimed Tether could not complete an audit, and we have once again proven them wrong. An unqualified opinion means Tether has secured a clean audit." CFO Simon McWilliams called the milestone "a landmark in Tether’s commitment to transparency", noting the firm has wrapped up a historic project with the Big Four accounting firms and will continue to elevate standards moving forward. Tether has long published independent reserve attestation reports; this full financial statement audit marks a jump in its financial reporting regime from the attestation level to the full audit tier.

29 minutes ago

Over $1.4 billion worth of crypto options are set to expire today, with Bitcoin’s max pain point at $64,000.

BTC and ETH options are set to expire this Friday, with open interest concentrated around several key strike prices. BTC’s nominal open interest stands at roughly $1.28 billion, with its max pain point at $64,000. The highest concentration of call options is at $68,000, followed by $70,000 to $72,000. ETH’s nominal open interest is approximately $161 million, with its max pain point at $1,900. The highest concentration of call options is at $1,950 and $2,000. BTC’s put/call open interest ratio is 0.85, while ETH’s is 0.94.

29 minutes ago

Bitwise Chief Investment Officer (CIO): DeFi’s market size and pricing power are both underestimated, and projects like Hyperliquid have far greater potential than imagined.

Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan stated that people evaluating current decentralized finance (DeFi) applications are making two overlapping mistakes: regarding market size, they believe they are targeting the $2 trillion cryptocurrency market, but in reality, they are targeting the $500 trillion asset market; regarding value capture, they think they have maximized fee revenue, but have only scratched the surface. Projects such as Hyperliquid, Uniswap, Aave, Morpho, Aerodrome, Lighter, Pump and others have a larger TAM (total addressable market) and stronger pricing power than commonly perceived.

29 minutes ago

75% of stocks in the S&P 500 tech sector have returned above their 200-day moving average, with historical averages indicating a potential gain of up to 33.4% over the next year.

Last week, 75% of stocks in the S&P 500 Tech sector closed above their 200-day moving average (DMA), marking the first time this threshold has been hit since October 2024, ending a 219-trading-day stretch of prolonged weakness. This is the 9th-longest downturn on record, with the longest such stretch in history lasting 759 trading days, ending after the dot-com bubble burst on April 22, 2003. Historical data shows that after the end of such prolonged downturns, the tech sector posts an average gain of 2.5% in the following month, 7.3% in three months, 15.5% in six months, and a whopping 33.4% in 12 months. Meanwhile, 69% of stocks in the Nasdaq 100 index are now above their 200-day moving average, near the highest level since July 2025. This notable improvement in the breadth indicator signals that the tech stock rally is expanding beyond a handful of heavyweight stocks to the broader sector, as market momentum builds. The tech sector had previously faced multiple headwinds including memory chip sell-offs, deleveraging of leveraged ETFs, and concerns over AI capital expenditures; this technical repair provides positive support for future market performance.

29 minutes ago

Bitcoin falls below $63,000, with a 1.03% drop in the past 24 hours.

According to HTX market data, Bitcoin has dropped below $63,000, with a 24-hour decline of 1.03%.

29 minutes ago

CFTC releases agenda for first meeting of its Innovation Advisory Committee, focusing on regulation of crypto assets, AI, and prediction markets.

U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) Chairman Michael S. Selig has released the agenda for the inaugural meeting of the Innovation Advisory Committee (IAC). The meeting is scheduled to be held in Washington on Thursday, August 20, and will focus on topics including crypto asset regulation, artificial intelligence, and prediction markets. Selig said: "The United States has long been a global hub for financial innovation. I look forward to meeting with entrepreneurs, thinkers, and builders of the CFTC Innovation Advisory Committee to explore how emerging technologies and financial products can shape our markets in the new financial frontier." The public may submit relevant comments by August 27, and all received submissions will be published publicly. The meeting agenda may be adjusted based on other priorities of the IAC; the full agenda is available on the CFTC’s official website. The CFTC also emphasized that the views and opinions expressed by the advisory committee represent only the committee itself and do not reflect the positions of the CFTC, its staff, or the U.S. government.

29 minutes ago

Popular tokens

BitcoinEthereumHyperliquidSolanaTRONBNBTetherAaveXRPPepeFartcoinOndoJupiterUniswapBonkPendleEthenaArbitrumAvalancheLidoChainlinkPolygonDogecoinCardano