Deribit × SignalPlus "Island Plan" Trading Competition Officially Launched, $600,000 USDC Prize Pool Now Up for Grabs

Data from prediction market platform Predict.fun shows that the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 will feature a match between the United States and Belgium. As of press time, the market assigns a roughly 54% probability to the U.S. advancing, and a 47% chance to Belgium. The two sides’ odds are very close, with traders overall only slightly favoring host nation the U.S. to reach the quarterfinals. Notably, this is one of the matches with the largest market divergence in this World Cup’s Round of 16. The U.S. holds home advantage and has demonstrated strong team cohesion in the tournament so far, while Belgium boasts extensive major tournament experience and multiple players competing in Europe’s top leagues, giving them solid knockout-stage competitiveness. No clear consensus has emerged in the market at present, with both sides considered to have a realistic shot at advancing. This match is likely to be one of the most suspenseful contests in the Round of 16.

According to Hyperinsight monitoring, the whale address starting with 0x4c7 holds a total of 9 semiconductor-related positions on Hyperliquid, with a total notional size of approximately $36.448 million. Among these, two short positions on South Korean semiconductor stocks Samsung Electronics (SMSN) and SK Hynix (SKHX) amount to roughly $14.84 million, making it the largest short seller of SKHX. On the news front, this week marks a high-event window for South Korean semiconductor stocks: Samsung Electronics will release its preliminary Q2 results on July 7, SK Hynix’s ADR will list in the U.S. on July 10, and the Federal Reserve’s June meeting minutes will be released in the early hours of July 9 (Beijing time). Some South Korean media have dubbed this week the "fateful week" for the country’s semiconductor sector. Details of the two short positions are as follows: SKHX Short Position (4x isolated margin): Size of approximately $10.865 million, average entry price of $1,461.06, current price of ~$1,534.90, liquidation price of $1,854.69, unrealized loss of ~$523,000 (-20.2%). SMSN Short Position (4x isolated margin): Size of approximately $3.974 million, average entry price of $201.54, current price of ~$207.54, liquidation price of $251.85, unrealized loss of ~$115,000 (-11.9%). It is reported that despite a pullback in South Korean stocks today, this address has not turned profitable. It continued to slightly add to its Samsung short position by approximately $182,000 this afternoon, with no open orders visible at present. -HyperInsight Bot is now live. Add @HyperInsightBot to Telegram groups and set it as an admin (enable message sending permission) to automatically sync on-chain news.

The UK government has unveiled a new political donation reform plan, proposing to extend the ￡100,000 cap on overseas donations to the first year after a donor becomes a UK resident, and raise scrutiny standards for corporate political donations to further restrict foreign funds flowing into UK politics. The new rules build on the March ban on crypto political donations and are expected to be submitted to Parliament for final review next week. Analysts believe the new rules may impact the political donation capacity of Reform UK’s key crypto industry backers. Among them, Christopher Harborne—an investor holding approximately 12% of Tether’s equity—has donated around ￡12 million to Reform UK and is registered as a UK voter; Ben Delo, co-founder of BitMEX, has donated roughly ￡4 million and stated he plans to return to the UK to settle, meaning his political donations in the first year after his return will likely be subject to the ￡100,000 cap. Reports note that the relevant donations were not made in cryptocurrency, and Reform UK stated all donations comply with current regulations. Meanwhile, party leader Nigel Farage is facing further investigation over alleged failure to declare non-cash support provided by supporter George Cottrell.

According to Hyperinsight monitoring, an address starting with 0x0ad opened a long position in SKHX (SK Hynix) during the weekend when U.S. stock markets were closed. Using approximately $2.72 million in margin and 3x leverage, it went long on 5,095 SKHX contracts. As of press time, the address’s position is valued at around $7.8 million; against the backdrop of today’s overall decline in South Korean stocks, this whale is currently sitting on an unrealized loss of about $370,000 (-13%), and has become the largest long holder of SKHX on Hyperliquid. Additionally, this whale opened a long position in MU during the same period, using roughly $2.12 million in margin and 4x leverage to go long on 5,095 MU contracts. As of press time, this position is valued at approximately $8.27 million, with an unrealized loss of around $297,000 (-11%).

Binance announced it will delist all leveraged trading pairs for TST (Test) and IOTX (IoTeX) and terminate related lending services, effective July 10 at 10:00 UTC. Per the announcement, the exchange will suspend leveraged borrowing functions for the two tokens at 10:00 UTC on July 7. Starting at 10:00 UTC on July 10, Binance will close all related isolated and cross margin leveraged positions, automatically settle outstanding liabilities, cancel pending orders, and remove the corresponding leveraged trading pairs. Meanwhile, Flexible Loan and VIP Loan will automatically close all outstanding lending positions involving TST and IOTX.

Coinbase pushed an AI-generated "breaking news" alert to users, claiming Norway beat Brazil 3-2 and Erling Haaland scored a brace, but the notification was sent before the match had even started, sparking user skepticism. Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong said the company had launched an investigation, and Coinbase later confirmed it had fixed the issue and updated its systems to prevent similar AI-generated content errors from recurring. Max Branzburg, Coinbase’s head of consumer and business products, noted that AI-powered 24/7 market news has potential but still needs further accuracy improvements. Notably, the actual final score of the match was Norway 2-1 Brazil, with Haaland scoring two goals, but the AI alert contained errors in both the score and its release timing. The incident comes as Coinbase continues to expand its prediction markets business; this year, it has offered U.S. users event contracts for sports, elections, and macroeconomic events via Kalshi, and views prediction markets as a key component of its strategy to build a "one-stop trading platform."