Predict.fun World Cup Knockout Stage: US Has 54% Probability of Advancing, Belgium Garnered 47% Market Support

Data from prediction market platform Predict.fun shows that the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 will feature a match between the United States and Belgium. As of press time, the market assigns a roughly 54% probability to the U.S. advancing, and a 47% chance to Belgium. The two sides’ odds are very close, with traders overall only slightly favoring host nation the U.S. to reach the quarterfinals. Notably, this is one of the matches with the largest market divergence in this World Cup’s Round of 16. The U.S. holds home advantage and has demonstrated strong team cohesion in the tournament so far, while Belgium boasts extensive major tournament experience and multiple players competing in Europe’s top leagues, giving them solid knockout-stage competitiveness. No clear consensus has emerged in the market at present, with both sides considered to have a realistic shot at advancing. This match is likely to be one of the most suspenseful contests in the Round of 16.