US Stock Market Open Cryptocurrency Stock Soaring, COIN Up 7.35%
On February 13, at the **opening bell** of U.S. stock markets:
- The Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 0.03%, the S&P 500 edged down 0.01%, and the Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.12%.
Among cryptocurrency-linked equities:
- MicroStrategy (MSTR) gained 4.41%, Coinbase (COIN) jumped 7.35%, Circle (CRCL) rose 4.71%, Sporttrade (SBET) advanced 2.35%, and Bitfarms (BMNR) climbed 4.00%.
### Notes on U.S. language habits:
1. **"Opening bell"** is the standard term for market open (more natural than "opening").
2. Explicit index names (e.g., *Dow Jones Industrial Average*, *Nasdaq Composite*) are common in financial news.
3. Verbs like *dipped/edged down/slipped* (for small declines) and *gained/jumped/advanced/climbed* (for gains) add variety (avoids repeating "fell/rose").
4. Adding company full names (with ticker symbols in parentheses) is typical for clarity in financial briefs.
5. Concise, bullet-point structure aligns with U.S. news style for quick updates.
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Analyst: Strong Employment Data 'Locks In' Rate Cut Space
February 13 — Regan Capital analyst Skyler Weinand said soft January U.S. inflation data won’t boost the odds of Federal Reserve rate cuts in the coming months.
The reason? This week’s earlier labor data was stronger than expected: 130,000 new jobs added in January, and the unemployment rate hit 4.3%.
“The Fed simply can’t cut rates right now—after all, the economy just posted six-figure job growth,” he noted. Weinand expects the Senate to confirm Woosh as Powell’s successor as Fed chair, but doubts he can build consensus on rate cuts. “We might not see any changes to the Fed’s policy rate this year,” he added.
CME’s FedWatch Tool shows investors are currently pricing in at least two rate cuts this year. (FX678)
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SBF's Undeveloped Wealth: Holdings in Anthropic, SOL, Robinhood, etc. If Maintained Could Exceed $80 Billion
On February 13, it was reported that Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF)—founder of collapsed crypto exchange FTX—could have amassed over $800 billion if early-stage investments hadn’t been locked by asset freezes.
Among those holdings:
- SBF once invested $500 million in AI startup Anthropic. With generative AI’s rapid growth, that stake is now worth roughly $70 billion based on current valuations.
- He accumulated ~$60 million in SOL when the token traded around $8; at SOL’s all-time high market cap, that position would have peaked at ~$21 billion.
- A $100 million bet on Mysten Labs (developer of the Sui blockchain) now values the stake at over $8 billion.
- In traditional finance, SBF holds ~7.5% of Robinhood’s equity—worth around $10 billion based on the platform’s current market value.
However, after FTX’s 2022 collapse and ongoing legal proceedings, relevant assets have been seized by authorities. SBF was previously found to have misappropriated customer funds to fund high-ris
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Phrase: Fed Rate Cut Hinges on Second-Half Inflation Easing
Feb. 13 — Seema Shah, Chief Global Strategist at Principal Asset Management, noted the current environment isn’t yet sufficient to warrant a recent Federal Reserve rate cut.
Ongoing labor market strength gives policymakers cover to hold interest rates steady. As tariff impacts fade, further inflation slowdown in H2 should clear the way for looser monetary policy.
(Source: Golden Finance)
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Peter Brandt suggests Bitcoin may not have bottomed, unlikely to see a "real bottom" before October; predicts escalating market divergence
**February 13 Crypto Market Update: Analyst Insights & Polymarket Probabilities**
Veteran trader and technical analyst Peter Brandt—who correctly called the 2018 Bitcoin crash—says Bitcoin hasn’t hit its real bottom yet, noting the actual bottom might not arrive until October 2026. He’d earlier forecast Bitcoin could slide to the $60k range in Q3 2026; on February 6, Bitcoin briefly dipped to roughly $62,700.
Brandt adds: In the short term, prices could see upward swings but might still pull back to the $50k range this year.
Meanwhile, Arthur Hayes argues Ethereum’s price will likely trade sideways in its current range until U.S. dollar liquidity improves. As of press time, Ethereum trades at ~$1,941—down more than 40% over the past 30 days.
MN Trading Capital founder Micha?l van de Poppe counters, calling Ethereum now in an attractive accumulation zone. He notes stablecoin trading volume has jumped roughly 200% over the last 18 months.
**Polymarket Probability Data:**
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IREN to be Included in MSCI USA Index, Bringing Crypto Firm Back to Mainstream Equity Index System
On February 13, a second Bitcoin-focused firm followed Strategy in being added to a major U.S. stock index.
IREN Limited (NASDAQ: IREN) announced it will join the MSCI USA Index after the close of trading on February 27. The index covers large- and mid-cap U.S. stocks, representing roughly 85% of the U.S. free-float market capitalization. Inclusion typically brings automatic inflows from passive funds and increased visibility among institutional investors.
Previously, index provider MSCI had floated a proposal to exclude Digital Asset Treasury (DAT) companies where cryptocurrency makes up over 50% of their balance sheets. In response, Strategy publicly pushed back against the plan, calling the related suggestion "discriminatory, arbitrary, and unfeasible." Ultimately, MSCI opted not to exclude DAT firms, allowing Strategy to remain in its indexes.
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