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Analyst: 2025 to Mark a Cryptocurrency Policy Inflection Point, Regulatory Clarity to Drive Institutional Adoption

3 hours ago

On December 24, according to Crowdfund Insider, TRM Labs’ Policy Team members Ari Redbord and Angela Ang, along with the firm’s EMEA Regulatory Advisor Luke Dufour, reviewed the most significant global crypto policy matters of Q4 2025 and examined developments across 30 jurisdictions—uncovering several key trends: - Stablecoins dominated policy agendas, with over 70% of jurisdictions advancing stablecoin regulation in 2025. - Clearer regulations paved the way for institutional adoption: Roughly 80% of financial institutions in the surveyed jurisdictions announced new digital asset initiatives. - Regulation’s impact on illicit finance was evident: TRM’s analysis found Virtual Asset Service Providers (VASPs)—the most heavily regulated segment of the crypto ecosystem—have a far lower illicit activity rate than the broader ecosystem. TRM Labs noted that 2025 was a “watershed year for U.S. crypto policy.” The fourth quarter further built on this momentum, shifting beyond just congressional bill progress: Regulatory agencies are increasingly leveraging guidance, supervision, and enforcement to achieve their policy objectives.
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Uniswap Whale Bets $12.68M Worth of UNI on WhaleDAO Proposal Prior to Submission

December 24th — Per on-chain analyst Ai Auntie’s (@ai_9684xtpa) monitoring, the whale/institution that staked UNI ahead of the Unification proposal submission continues to accumulate the token. Over the past 6 hours, the address has withdrawn another 2,179,487 UNI from Coinbase (valued at $12.68 million). As of press time, the address holds a total of 3.629 million UNI ($20.02 million), with an average withdrawal price of $5.51 — netting a $740,000 profit. Notably, the possibility that the address belongs to Coinbase for wallet management purposes cannot be ruled out.

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Polymarket Prediction: Probability of "Bitcoin December Price Dropping Below $80,000" Currently at 16%

Dec 24: Polymarket currently pegs the probability of Bitcoin dropping below $80k this December at 16%, 5% for falling below $75k, and 5% for surpassing $100k.

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On December 24, Garrett Jin—linked to the "BTC OG Insider Whale" account—posted that the rally in silver, palladium, and platinum is primarily driven by short squeezes and unlikely to hold. Once these metals start to retreat, they’ll likely drag gold down too. Funds are set to rotate out of the precious metals sector and flow into Bitcoin and Ethereum.

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「BTC OG Insider Whale」 Agent: US Stock Market On-Chain Migration Trend Bodes Well for Nasdaq and Ethereum

December 24: Garrett Jin, operator of the "BTC OG Insider Whale" account, posted that going long on Nasdaq and shorting Coinbase has long been an effective strategy. This divergence signals U.S. equities are shifting on-chain—a move bullish for Nasdaq but bearish for high-frequency trading players like Citadel and Robinhood, as profits are being reallocated. Notably, this trend is also highly bullish for Ethereum (ETH). As Charlie Munger once noted: “When people are fearful, wisdom is often evenly distributed—what truly determines outcomes is courage and patience.”

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Bitcoin drops below $87,000

On December 24th, Bitcoin fell below $87,000, posting a 1.4% drop over the past 24 hours, per HTX market data.

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