CNN: Trump has not yet made the "fatal mistake" of expanding the war with Iran, but is facing a critical choice.
57 minutes ago
CNN published an analysis stating that U.S. President Donald Trump has not yet taken the biggest risk in the Iran conflict: escalating the war to an uncontrollable scale. But as the diplomatic deadlock drags on, Trump is facing three options: further escalation, expanding military operations, or withdrawing from the conflict. The report notes that after Iran refused to hold further talks, Trump recently issued another stern warning, saying Iran’s leadership faces a "last chance." However, analysts argue that simply expanding airstrikes will not necessarily force Iran to back down; instead, it could prompt Iran to target infrastructure of U.S. allies in the Gulf region, escalating regional conflict. Currently, the U.S. is still limiting the scope of its military operations, targeting primarily military sites. Further strikes on civilian infrastructure such as energy facilities and power grids, or even ground operations, could push the conflict into a higher-risk phase. CNN points out that history—including the Vietnam War, Iraq War, and Afghanistan War—shows that leaders often escalate conflicts to avoid defeat or protect their reputation, ultimately falling into a "no-win, no-exit" trap. Analysts note that Trump won the 2016 election by campaigning against "endless wars," and the Iran conflict will now be a key test of his political legacy. With the U.S. midterm elections approaching, further escalation could carry higher political costs. Trump is currently balancing diplomatic and military pressure, and the ultimate trajectory of the Iran conflict will impact his presidential tenure evaluation and the U.S. Middle East strategy.
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