US July PMI data remains stable, but the report contains hidden warning signals.
44 minutes ago
S&P Global Market Intelligence Chief Business Economist Chris Williamson stated: "Although the U.S. PMI figures released in July remained stable, the survey data shows some warning signs for the future growth trajectory. July saw a notable slowdown in production growth, linked to the third consecutive month of weak new business growth, which reflects a drawdown in inventory overhang following the unusually strong precautionary inventory accumulation in the second quarter. Additionally, intensified supply chain delays, declining exports, and further customer resistance to high prices have added greater pressure. While raw material cost inflation eased slightly, inflationary pressures remain elevated due to persistent energy prices and tariffs. In response, producers are either attempting to raise selling prices to protect profits or striving to boost production efficiency, hence factory gate price inflation stayed high in July, while employment growth also flattened. In the current environment, corporate optimism about economic growth prospects has fallen to its lowest level since last October, highlighting downside risks to the near-term outlook."
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