Institutions Preview Fed Interest Rate Decision: A hawkish hold could boost the US dollar, with the market focusing on Waller’s remarks.
1 days ago
The Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision will be released tonight, with multiple institutions sharing their forward-looking views. Most institutions expect the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged, and note that the policy statement and Chair Powell’s press conference will be key catalysts for market volatility. Among them: - MUFG and Saxo Bank believe that if the Fed delivers hawkish signals or unexpectedly raises interest rates, the U.S. dollar and U.S. Treasury yields are poised to strengthen. - TD Securities said that if there are no dissenting votes in the decision, it indicates Chair Powell has built internal consensus to some extent, and the U.S. dollar may face a sharp sell-off. - DBS Bank pointed out that even minor changes in the statement’s wording could significantly drive volatility in short-term interest rates. - Goldman Sachs and HSBC argue that even if the Fed holds rates steady throughout the year, the drag on the U.S. dollar will be limited. Unless the Fed unexpectedly raises rates, the dollar lacks new upside catalysts. For gold, ING Group and SIA Wealth Management hold that gold prices still have short-term support, but upside potential may be capped if a hawkish surprise emerges.
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