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Daiwa cuts Tencent's target price to HK$670, revises its AI capital expenditure and earnings forecasts.

1 hours ago

Daiwa Securities released a research report projecting that Tencent Holdings will raise its AI capital expenditure expectations, which will pressure its mid-term earnings. Meanwhile, its gaming business growth has slowed amid a high base, though its market share growth momentum remains intact. The brokerage cut Tencent’s 2026 to 2028 earnings per share (EPS) forecasts by 1% to 6% to reflect these impacts. Daiwa sharply raised Tencent’s 2026 AI capital expenditure forecast from the original 108 billion yuan to around 181 billion yuan, to reflect the company’s stronger commitment to AI investment and improved chip supply. While higher depreciation will weigh on its near-term and mid-term earnings performance, this is also expected to drive faster expansion of its cloud business and monetization of AI demand, with such benefits anticipated to materialize as early as the second half of 2026. Daiwa maintained its "Buy" rating on Tencent, lowering its target price from HK$700 to HK$670.

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WTI crude oil climbed 5% intraday, reaching $75 per barrel.

According to Bitget market data, WTI crude oil prices rose 5.0% intraday to $75 per barrel. Reports indicate that Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has attacked U.S. military assets in Oman and Bahrain.

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Nanfang's Double Long SK Hynix ETF Falls Over 30%

According to Bitget market data, the Southern 2x Long Samsung Electronics product’s decline widened to 20% in the afternoon, while the Southern 2x Long SK Hynix product dropped more than 30%.

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South Korea's KOSPI index fell more than 9%.

According to Bitget's market data, South Korea's KOSPI index dipped to 6,800 points, falling 9.07% intraday. SK Hynix is currently down 14.5%, while Samsung Electronics has dropped 11%.

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After SK Hynix's sharp plunge, the cross-platform price gap has widened, with Hyperliquid futures contracts trading at a discount of nearly $14 compared to Binance's.

According to Hyperinsight monitoring, following SK Hynix’s continued sharp drop, the SKHYNIX perpetual contract on Binance trades at $1,275, down 13.82% over 24 hours; the SKHYNIX contract on Hyperliquid is around $1,261.80, down 14.50% in the same period. The price gap between the two is roughly $13.3, with Binance’s transaction price carrying a premium of about 1.05% over Hyperliquid. Calculated by mark price, Binance’s mark price is $1,273.80, while Hyperliquid’s is $1,257.60, widening the spread to $16.20, with a premium of approximately 1.29%. Yet the reference prices on both platforms are largely aligned: Binance’s index price stands at $1,240.97, and Hyperliquid’s oracle price is $1,242.00, a difference of just $1.03. Funding rates also signal that long positions remain crowded: Binance’s 8-hour funding rate has climbed to 0.5%; Hyperliquid’s hourly funding rate is around 0.0698%, translating to roughly 0.56% on an 8-hour static basis, with both rates requiring long positions to pay short positions.

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Whale Tracking: Trader 'yixie' suffered losses on his long bet on SK Hynix ADR ahead of its listing, and is currently down $1.8 million.

According to Hyperinsight monitoring, as of press time, SKHX on Hyperliquid trades at around $1,276, down over 13% from the previous trading session. US stock trader "yixie" currently holds a 2x isolated long position in SKHX on Hyperliquid, with a position size of ~$12.855 million, an unrealized loss of roughly $1.801 million, and a position return of -24.6%. The average entry price of the position is $1,461.8, and the liquidation price is approximately $792.8. The trader previously held a large long position in Micron Technology (MU), buying a total of 8,949.192 shares for ~$7.865 million in transaction value, ultimately closing out the entire position for a profit of around $870,000. After locking in gains from the MU long, his funds shifted further to SK Hynix. Data shows "yixie" added heavily to his SKHX position between July 9 and 10, rather than the US ADR contract SKHY; his entry timing, however, came right before the official listing of SK Hynix’s ADR, likely aiming to bet on the ADR’s price performance following its Monday opening. Despite the current unrealized loss on the position, he still has a high-level take-profit plan in place. He has placed a take-profit sell order at $1,598.8, with 5,418.676 shares, a notional value of ~$8.663 million, covering about 54% of his existing position. This order price is roughly 24.7% higher than the current level. Previous whale update: Micron’s earnings report drove SK Hynix’s stock price up 11%, expanding trader "yixie"’s unrealized gains to $1.3 million.

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South Korean President: Will guide the government to support chips, AI data centers, and physical AI.

South Korean President Lee Jae-myung stated that the government will prioritize support for three key projects: semiconductors, AI data centers, and physical AI.

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