Daiwa cuts Tencent's target price to HK$670, revises its AI capital expenditure and earnings forecasts.
1 hours ago
Daiwa Securities released a research report projecting that Tencent Holdings will raise its AI capital expenditure expectations, which will pressure its mid-term earnings. Meanwhile, its gaming business growth has slowed amid a high base, though its market share growth momentum remains intact. The brokerage cut Tencent’s 2026 to 2028 earnings per share (EPS) forecasts by 1% to 6% to reflect these impacts. Daiwa sharply raised Tencent’s 2026 AI capital expenditure forecast from the original 108 billion yuan to around 181 billion yuan, to reflect the company’s stronger commitment to AI investment and improved chip supply. While higher depreciation will weigh on its near-term and mid-term earnings performance, this is also expected to drive faster expansion of its cloud business and monetization of AI demand, with such benefits anticipated to materialize as early as the second half of 2026. Daiwa maintained its "Buy" rating on Tencent, lowering its target price from HK$700 to HK$670.
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