Traders and market forecasters expect the Nasdaq 100 to likely face volatility in the second half of the year, with AI trading momentum slowing.
1 hours ago
Data from prediction market platform Kalshi shows traders are growing cautious about the NASDAQ-100 Index’s second-half trajectory. Current market odds put the index at roughly a 50% chance of holding above 30,000 points by year-end, a 40% chance of breaking through 32,000 points, and just a 27% chance of hitting 33,000 points—signaling a cooling of investor expectations for the sustainability of the AI-driven rally. Meanwhile, a UBS report notes that after the semiconductor sector’s strong second-quarter rally, the market is reassessing the next phase of AI-related trading. While AI’s long-term growth logic remains intact, a structural shift in market leadership may occur: capital could flow out of overvalued tech stocks to other sectors, leaving tech equities facing more pronounced valuation corrections and sector rotation pressures in the second half of the year.
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