Predict.fun’s World Cup group stage match between Germany and Ecuador: Germany has a 65% win probability.

Based on real-time data, with Bitcoin’s current price at $59,291 and its 200-day dollar-cost average (C200) at $75,821, Bitcoin’s Ahr999 "bottom-fishing" indicator stands at 0.285. The year’s previous low was 0.27 on February 6. Statistics show that an Ahr999 reading below 0.3 is a rare sign of extreme undervaluation, typically occurring during major market crashes or panic events. Historically, the indicator has fallen below 0.3 on several key occasions: November 2011, when Bitcoin’s price was in the single digits and had not yet gained widespread mainstream acceptance; the bottom of the 2018 bear market (low of around 0.24); the March 2020 "3.16 Flash Crash" (driven by COVID-19 panic); the June 2022 ETH liquidation crash and November 2022 FTX collapse, when it repeatedly hit around 0.27; and February 2026, when it touched 0.27-0.29, near historical lows. BlockBeats Note: This indicator helps Bitcoin dollar-cost averaging (DCA) users make investment decisions by combining timing strategies. It reflects Bitcoin’s short-term DCA returns and the deviation between its price and expected valuation. In Bitcoin’s history, the Ahr999 index has stayed below the bottom line (0.45) for 655 days.

Affected by the US stock market's opening surge and subsequent decline, Bitcoin plunged 4.8% in a flash over the past hour. As of press time, the cryptocurrency has temporarily rebounded to $59,308.38. However, during the flash crash, a total of 5 contract orders worth over $10 million were liquidated across the network, with global liquidations hitting $560 million in the past hour.

According to Bitget market data, US crude oil and Brent crude oil rose 1% on the day, currently trading at $71.11 per barrel and $74.14 per barrel respectively.

According to Bitget market data, the US stock market saw a "sell the news" move after today’s opening. The Nasdaq 100 index turned from gains to losses within 30 minutes, widening its decline to over 1% after earlier rising as much as 2.1%. Its constituent stocks: Strategy fell 7.1%, Applovin dropped 6.3%, Rocket Lab declined 6%, Apple slid 5.1% (ranking fourth from the bottom), while Arm Holdings, Marvell Technology, and NVIDIA all fell by at least 2.9%. Storage stocks held firm: Western Digital rose 3.6%, Micron gained 8.6%, and SanDisk jumped 10.6%.

According to Bitget market data, alongside Bitcoin’s sharp decline, both Strategy and its STRC have dropped over 7%: MSTR is down 7.84%, STRC is down 8.2%, currently trading at $74.25. STRC is a preferred stock issued by Strategy to raise funds for Bitcoin purchases, with a face value roughly pegged at $100. It offers high dividends, with its dividend rate adjusted based on price conditions to aim for trading as close to par as possible. STRC’s significant de-pegging signals that the market is demanding higher yields, and also reflects investors’ waning confidence in its credit and dividend stability. Strategy previously relied heavily on issuing STRC to raise capital for Bitcoin buys; if STRC trades below par, issuing new STRC would no longer be cost-effective for the company, effectively meaning borrowing at a higher cost. As a result, its ability to continue purchasing Bitcoin will be weakened.

According to HTX market data, Bitcoin has fallen below $59,000, dropping nearly 4% since the U.S. stock market opened, and is currently trading at $58,894.23.