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Fed Rate Hike Forecast for 2026: Expectations of Rate Hike Increase, Probability of Cumulative 25 Basis Point Hikes Reaching 37.3%

56 minutes ago

May 29 — Data from the CME FedWatch Tool shows market bets on this year’s interest rate cuts have all but faded, while the odds of the Federal Reserve raising rates are climbing — including a small but noticeable chance of a 75 basis point hike. Looking further ahead, the probability the Fed holds interest rates steady through all of 2026 stands at 51.9%, with just a 0.5% likelihood of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut over that same period. For this year, meanwhile, the odds of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike are 37.3%, a 50 basis point hike 9.3%, and a 75 basis point hike 1%. Additionally, the chance of a 25 basis point rate cut at the Fed’s upcoming June policy meeting is only 1.1%.
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Anthropic has released Claude Opus 4.8, and Claude Code has added **Dynamic Workflows**.

According to monitoring from Dynamic Insight, Anthropic has officially released Claude Opus 4.8, an upgraded iteration of its prior Claude Opus 4.7 model. The new version delivers enhanced performance across multiple benchmarks, with standout gains in encoding, agentic tasks, logical reasoning, and real-world practical capabilities. Anthropic positions Opus 4.8 as a more dependable, trustworthy collaborator, with major improvements to its judgment, honesty (it produces far fewer baseless conclusions), and long-term context retention—all while keeping pricing identical to the previous generation. This update also rolls out several key new features: Claude Code now includes "Dynamic Workflows" built for handling large-scale code projects efficiently; claude.ai adds "Effort Control," letting users independently adjust how deeply the model thinks through tasks; Fast Mode has been accelerated by 2.5 times, with steep price cuts to match. The model is now fully accessible, and developers ca

7 minutes ago

Analysis: The US-Iran Understanding Memorandum has reached consensus at the negotiation representative level, pending approval from the two countries' top leaders

May 29 — U.S. news outlet Axios reported Tuesday, citing two U.S. officials, that U.S. and Iranian negotiating teams have reached a preliminary 60-day memorandum of understanding (MOU) to extend an existing ceasefire and launch talks focused on Iran’s nuclear program. The deal is not yet final, however, as U.S. President Donald Trump has not given his approval and has asked for several additional days to review the terms. The disclosed details of the proposed MOU include provisions for unrestricted shipping in the Strait of Hormuz: no tolls will be charged and no harassment of vessels will be permitted. Iran would be required to clear all mines in the strategic waterway within 30 days, while the U.S. would lift its naval blockade of the region—though that process will progress in proportion to the resumption of commercial shipping through the strait. The MOU would also formalize Iran’s commitment not to develop nuclear weapons; during the 60-day negotiation window, core topics will be

7 minutes ago

U.S. officials have stated that the U.S. and Iran have reached a preliminary agreement

May 29 — U.S. officials have confirmed to the White House press corps that the U.S. and Iran have reached a preliminary agreement, which is still pending approval from President Donald Trump, Fox News reports.

7 minutes ago

OpenAI has released a cutting-edge Governance Framework, outlining how its security practices will align with emerging regulatory requirements.

According to monitoring by Dynamics Beating (linked at https://t.me/OneMillion_AI), OpenAI has released its Frontier Governance Framework, a set of guidelines designed to align the company’s safety practices with emerging regulatory requirements—including California’s Frontier AI Transparency Act and the EU AI Act. Building on OpenAI’s existing Preparedness Framework, this framework translates internal risk management practices into public governance documents, with a focus on assessing and mitigating risks specific to frontier AI systems. Key risk areas covered include cyberattacks, Chemical, Biological, Radiological, Nuclear (CBRN) events, adversarial manipulation, and loss of control. Additional components of the framework include model reporting protocols, security risk management strategies, incident response plans, external expert engagement processes, and a regular update mechanism. OpenAI has stated that the framework will be continuously revised to align with advancements in

7 minutes ago

HYPE Whale Loracle's $50.8 Million Spot Unlocked, Market Generally Expects Sell-off

May 29th – Per Hyperinsight’s monitoring, HYPE’s largest short seller “Trader Loracle” has unlocked 893,000 staked HYPE spot tokens, valued at around $50.8 million. No further moves have been made by Loracle so far. Over the past month, this whale completed two unlocks totaling 1.115 million HYPE tokens, worth roughly $63.51 million. On May 21 – the day HYPE hit its all-time high – Loracle sold 557,000 HYPE tokens for approximately $33.35 million, per on-chain records. Market watchers expect Loracle could sell these newly unlocked 893,000 spot tokens, which would put selling pressure on HYPE. This potential sell-off may also coincide with reductions in short positions. If Loracle sells the spot tokens but fails to cover their short positions at the same time, their $104 million HYPE short position would turn into a naked short. A short squeeze triggering forced liquidations could result in losses exceeding $100 million – enough to wipe out all of their spot gains. Current futures pos

7 minutes ago

Coinbase Adds O to Listing Roadmap

May 29: Coinbase will add o1exchange (ticker: O) to its official listing roadmap.

7 minutes ago