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Federal Reserve Nominee Warsh Reveals Holdings: Includes Crypto and AI Exposure, as well as Polymarket and SpaceX

3 hours ago

April 14 — According to Reuters, Federal Reserve Chair nominee Jerome Powell disclosed in a recent financial filing that he holds a range of forward-looking assets, including stakes in SpaceX and prediction platform Polymarket. These investments are among several small bets he’s made on emerging, even “sci-fi” startup projects. Powell’s core assets total more than $100 million, with two investments tied to the Duquesne Family Office (managed by investor Stanley Druckenmiller) each valued at over $50 million — holdings seemingly linked to his advisory work for the family office. More notable, however, is his position in DCM Investments 10 LLC. That portfolio segment, valued at no more than $500,000, is diversified across dozens of companies spanning sectors like: AI virtual assistants offering investment advice; AI-powered art creation; a new herpes vaccine; long-term reversible male contraception technology; and decentralized derivatives trading. In crypto and fintech, his holdings also include stakes in several related firms: Tenderly (an Ethereum developer platform), Stashfin (a “consumer lending neobank”), and Lemon Cash (a crypto financial services platform).
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The probability of the Fed holding interest rates steady in April is now reported to be 99.5%.

As of April 15, CME's FedWatch Tool shows the probability of a 25bp rate hike at the Fed’s April meeting stands at 0.5%, while the likelihood of rates remaining unchanged is 99.5%.

15 minutes ago

U.S. Official: U.S. to Let Iran Oil Sanctions Waivers Expire This Week

U.S. to let temporary sanctions waivers on Iranian oil shipments expire this week, per April 15th market reports citing two U.S. officials. (FXStreet)

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U.S. Official: The U.S. Navy is currently not providing escort services through the Strait of Hormuz for any vessel

CNN Reports: On April 15th, U.S. officials said the Navy is not currently escorting any ships through the Strait of Hormuz, but has notified commercial vessels (excluding those calling at or departing Iranian ports) that the waterway is safe for transit and encouraged them to proceed. The U.S. has not imposed a full blockade on the strait—only on vessels entering or exiting Iranian ports along Iran’s entire coastline.

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KKR Raises $1.5 Billion for New Investment Fund, Continuing to Expand Credit Business Footprint

April 15 (Bloomberg) — The Carlyle Group has raised $1.5 billion in the first close of its newly launched asset-backed investment fund, as the private equity giant continues to expand its credit business footprint. People familiar with the matter said pension funds, sovereign wealth funds and other institutional investors participated in the Carlyle Asset-Backed Income Fund. Unlike most fixed-term credit funds, the fund will adopt a “perpetual” structure with no set maturity date. The individuals requested anonymity due to the sensitive nature of the information.

15 minutes ago

Whale Trader "pension-usdt.eth" Short Position Sees Losses Balloon to Over $12 Million

As of April 15, HyperInsight monitoring shows Binance whale address **pension-usdt.eth** still holds 3x-leveraged short positions: - 1,000 BTC (average entry price: $67,992.1) - 20,000 ETH (average entry price: $2,131.94) Total unrealized loss: $12.203 million. (Note: HyperInsight’s Telegram handle is @HyperInsight, per original link.)

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Since yesterday, at least 9 commercial ships have passed through the Strait of Hormuz.

April 15 — At least nine commercial vessels have transited the Strait of Hormuz since yesterday, CNN reports, citing data from Kpler, a data intelligence and analytics platform.

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