Two Whales Open Million-Dollar BTC Short Positions Briefly, Liquidation Price Above $69,580

On March 27, the Iranian military warned that hotels in the region housing U.S. troops would be targeted. “When all U.S. troops are in a hotel, from our perspective, that hotel becomes a U.S. base,” said Shahkarami, spokesman for Iran’s Armed Forces. “Should we stand idly by and let Americans attack us? If we are to retaliate, we will naturally target where they are.” On Thursday, Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi accused U.S. troops in Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries of using civilians as human shields. (Wall Street CN)

**Tel Aviv Court Unseals Case of Ex-Israeli Air Force Colonel Suspected of Insider Trading on Iran War Airstrike** A Tel Aviv court revealed Thursday that an Israeli Air Force reservist and former colonel is suspected of using classified information to trade on Polymarket in connection with last year’s Israel-Iran war, per *The Times of Israel*. The defendant and an accomplice were charged last month with serious security offenses, bribery, and obstruction of justice. They are accused of wagering on the timing of Israel’s first airstrike during the 12-day conflict Israel launched in June 2025. Authorities have not disclosed the suspect’s identity, the specific amount bet, or full trade details. The case was initially under a court gag order, but parts of the order were lifted Thursday evening following requests from several Hebrew media outlets. Key case details are now public, though the defendant’s name remains confidential. After correctly predicting the airstrike’s timi

On March 27, Chloe (@ChloeTalk1)—a columnist for HTX DeepThink and researcher at HTX—broke down how recent macro factors are impacting the crypto market. The dynamic has shifted from “loose policy expectations fueling risk appetite” to a triple headwind framework: *higher-for-longer rates + energy shock + liquidity tightening*. While Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s latest remarks officially retained the median forecast of one rate cut this year, the key takeaway is clearer: Policy won’t pivot to easing until inflation sees a sustained, credible decline. Markets have wrapped up the first round of rapid repricing: Short-term rates are staying elevated and even showing upward stickiness, meaning the prior trading playbook centered on “preemptive rate cuts” has largely fizzled out. For crypto, this has directly weakened valuation anchors—pushing up compression pressure on high-beta assets, AI-themed coins, and cash-flow-less tokens. The Middle East conflict has roiled energy ma

**March 27 Update from Greeks.live** (Today is a quarterly options expiry day, with ~36% of Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) options set to expire.) - **BTC Options Expiry**: 68,000 contracts; Put-Call Ratio (PCR) = 0.56; Max pain = $74,000; Nominal value = $13 billion. - **ETH Options Expiry**: 370,000 contracts; PCR = 0.56; Max pain = $2,250; Nominal value = $21.2 billion. **Key Trends**: - Heavy options rolling this week, peaking at over 40% of total open interest. - Elevated call skew (PCR = 0.56) amid major expiry. - BTC trading activity remains muted despite market volatility. - Options IV: BTC main-term = 51%; ETH main-term = 70%. - Realized volatility (RV) is declining, driving volatility risk premium (VRP) higher—15-day VRP neared 20% in the first half of this week. **BTC Q1 Takeaway**: Bitcoin has underperformed in both price and activity in Q1, with low market confidence. Traders are watching for a potential Q2 turnaround.

On March 27th, per Onchain Lens data, a crypto whale has withdrawn 7.5 million ASTER (valued at ~$5.02 million) from Binance following six months of dormancy.

On March 27, Forbes reported that Trust Wallet has recently launched its Trust Wallet Agent Kit (TWAK)—a tool enabling AI agents to carry out on-chain transactions across 25 major public blockchains (including Ethereum-compatible chains, Solana, Bitcoin, TON, and Tron) within a user-defined rule framework. Supported operations cover token swaps, dollar-cost averaging (DCA), limit orders, and portfolio management. TWAK offers two modes: One equips AI agents with an independent wallet to run fully autonomously based on preset strategies. The other connects to a user’s existing wallet, where AI proposes transaction suggestions for the user to review and confirm on a per-transaction basis. Trust Wallet’s newly appointed CEO, Felix Fan, told Forbes in an interview: “The agent era will arrive faster than anyone expects.” He also emphasized that TWAK’s goal is to “abstract away complexity and deliver users a result-oriented, intuitive experience—users only need to state their intent, an