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The market is no longer fully pricing in a Fed rate cut this year

2 hours ago

**March 12 – Bond traders have stopped fully pricing in Federal Reserve rate cut expectations for 2026.** Rate swaps linked to Fed policy meeting dates showed traders on Thursday expected just a 24 basis point (bp) rate cut this year—less than a full 25bp cut—versus ~30bp of easing expected the prior night. The shift comes as U.S. Treasury yields have fluctuated, with the two-year yield (most sensitive to Fed policy moves) rising 4bp to nearly 3.70%. U.S. bonds faced pressure this week as investors fret the Middle East conflict will keep pushing energy prices higher, fueling a resurgence in inflation. (FXStreet)
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Iran says Trump's series of tweets won't end the war

**IRAN’S TOP SECURITY OFFICIAL RABIEI RESPONDS TO TRUMP’S “WIN WAR FAST” REMARK: WAR START EASY, END NOT TWEET-ACHIEVABLE; IRAN WON’T FORGIVE FOES IF CONFLICT ERUPTS** (Local time March 12) — Ali Rabiei, Secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, reacted to U.S. President Donald Trump’s statement that he “must quickly win this war.” He noted starting a war is easy, but ending one isn’t something a few tweets can accomplish. Rabiei added that once war breaks out, its end won’t be easily reached, and emphasized Iran will never easily forgive its adversaries. (FXStreet)

9 minutes ago

Probability of Backpack Token FDV Surpassing 3 Billion U.S. Dollars on First Day of Trading is 64%

**March 13: Backpack Token FDV Probabilities on Polymarket Rise** As of March 13, Polymarket data shows the probability of Backpack’s token hitting a fully diluted valuation (FDV) above $3 billion on its first trading day has climbed to 64%. The platform also pegs the likelihood of the token’s FDV exceeding $5 billion on launch day at 30%. Backpack previously announced its token generation event (TGE) is scheduled for March 23.

9 minutes ago

Santiment: Surge in USDT Active Addresses on BNB Chain Typically Accompanies Bitcoin Rebound

On March 13, cryptocurrency research firm Santiment stated in a social media post: "On-chain data shows that over the past year, every time active addresses for USDT on the BNB Chain saw three significant spikes, Bitcoin’s (BTC) price rebounded." USDT serves as the primary quote currency on most trading platforms, and the BNB Chain accounts for a substantial share of its daily transfer volume. Frequent fund flows between wallets and exchanges drive a surge in active addresses. A higher number of active addresses signals more "trading-ready capital"—notably on Binance. When this liquidity shifts from stablecoins to Bitcoin, buying pressure rises, typically triggering a price rebound.

9 minutes ago

Backpack announces TGE on March 23.

On March 13, per official sources, crypto exchange Backpack announced it will host its Token Generation Event (TGE) on March 23.

9 minutes ago

Claude launches interactive chart and graph functionality, buildable within chat

On March 13, Claude announced the ability to build interactive charts and graphs directly within its chat interface. The feature is currently in beta and available to all plans—including the free tier.

9 minutes ago

Ethena adjusts sUSD Unstake Mechanism: Cooling-off Period switched to dynamic mode, with the shortest length reduced to 1 day

On March 13, Ethena announced that the unstaking cooldown period for sUSDe will shift to a dynamic mechanism tied to the amount of liquid stablecoins in the USDe reserve. This means the fixed 7-day unstaking period for sUSDe—active since the project’s launch—will be cut to just 1 day. Going forward, the cooldown will dynamically range between 1 and 7 days based on the mix of liquid assets in the USDe reserve.

9 minutes ago