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Cryptocurrency Fear and Greed Index Rises to 9, Market Still in "Extreme Fear" Territory

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As of February 13th, data from Alternative Data shows the cryptocurrency Fear & Greed Index stands at 9 today—up from 5 yesterday—signaling the market remains in "extreme fear" territory. Note: The index ranges from 0 to 100, incorporating these metrics (with their respective weights): Volatility (25%), Market Volume (25%), Social Media Hype (15%), Market Surveys (15%), Bitcoin Dominance (10%), and Google Trends Analysis (10%).
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Bitcoin Withdrawal Trend Continues, with a 24-hour Net Outflow of 1,838.56 BTC from CEX

As of February 13, Coinglass data shows centralized exchanges (CEXs) saw a total net outflow of 1,838.56 BTC in the past 24 hours. The top three CEXs by outflow volume are: - Coinbase Pro: 1,150.87 BTC out - Binance: 568.14 BTC out - OKX: 502.56 BTC out Additionally, Gate led inflows with 211.55 BTC coming in, ranking first on the inflow list.

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The BTC Short Position Size of T3 Addresses on Hyperliquid is now sitting at a realized profit of $2.434 million

As of February 13, monitoring from AI Auntie shows the top 3 short positions for BTC address 0xd62...b7d91 on the Hyperliquid platform have an unrealized profit of $2.434 million. The address has been shorting BTC since February 2, currently holding a 40x leveraged short position of 278.76 BTC (worth approximately $18.51 million) with an average entry price of $75,150.50.

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The "Meme Coin Shorting Syndicate" Profited $6.7M Monthly Shorting Over 20 Tokens, Continuing to Take Profit Today by Shorting PUMP and UNI

On February 13th, data from HyperInsight monitoring (via https://t.me/HyperInsight) shows the "Shiba Inu Whale" address (0xa312...) closed part of its PUMP short position today to take profits, reducing its position by roughly $1.3028 million. After the reduction, the PUMP short position now stands at $1.6875 million, with $757,300 in unrealized profits and a 448.76% return rate. Meanwhile, the same address also closed part of its UNI short position today, bringing its current position to under $500,000. Its total account holdings are down 50% from last week’s peak as it continues to lock in profits. Additionally, the whale added to its LIT short position again today. The position now totals approximately $4.17 million, with $3.28 million in unrealized profits and an average entry price of $2.615. It remains the largest on-chain holder of LIT short positions.

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CPI Outlook: Economists Expect CPI Data to Beat Expectations Every January

**Reuters Survey: US Jan CPI Forecast at 0.3% MoM, 2.5% YoY** A Reuters poll of economists shows the median expectation for U.S. January CPI is 0.3% month-on-month growth—on par with December 2023. Forecasts range from 0.1% to 0.4%. Year-over-year, the CPI is seen rising 2.5%, a slight dip from December’s 2.7%. Economists cite the exclusion of last year’s higher inflation readings as the main driver. When releasing the January CPI report, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will unveil recalculated 2025 seasonal adjustment factors to reflect 2025 price changes. This could revise seasonally adjusted CPI indexes for the past five years. Economists note the BLS model update may not fix the CPI’s “January effect”—a trend where January data consistently tops expectations. (IG)

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JPMorgan Chase: Suggests Tactical Shorting of 2-Year Treasury, Cites Challenges for Aggressive Rate Cuts Under Powell

**Feb. 13 – Tactical Trade Alert: JPMorgan Urges Selling 2-Year Treasuries Amid Fed Chair Appointment Loom** With the Federal Reserve Chair appointment looming, JPMorgan Chase advised selling 2-year U.S. Treasury notes as a tactical trade. The bank argues even if Kevin Warsh is tapped to lead the Fed, **solid economic fundamentals will limit room for significant rate cuts**. JPMorgan projects January core CPI will rise 0.39% month-over-month—*topping the market’s consensus forecast of 0.31%*—reflecting early-year pricing adjustments and lingering inflation pressures. Strategists note strong growth and sticky inflation will **cap short-term rate downside**, making a sharp drop from current levels unlikely. Current market pricing calls for the Fed to deliver a 25-basis-point cut as early as July, with another cut expected by year-end. The 2-year Treasury yield edged up to 3.47% ahead of the CPI report. **Dissenting View:** Greenlight Capital founder David Einhorn is betting r

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If Bitcoin falls below $64,000, the mainstream CEX long liquidation pressure will reach $898 million

February 13th — Per Coinglass data, two critical liquidation thresholds exist for Bitcoin (BTC): - If BTC falls below $64,000, cumulative long position liquidations across major centralized exchanges (CEXs) will hit $898 million. - Conversely, a break above $69,000 would trigger $1.417 billion in cumulative short position liquidations on leading CEXs. **BlockBeats Note**: The liquidation chart does not display the exact number or value of contracts to be liquidated. Its bars instead show the **intensity** of each liquidation cluster relative to neighboring clusters — i.e., how impactful a price level will be. Higher bars signal a stronger reaction (driven by liquidity cascades) if BTC reaches that level.

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