CZ: Traders Need to Cautiously Evaluate Risk in Bear Markets as Individuals Cannot Predict Industry Bull or Bear Trends

On February 12, Binance founder CZ shared insights during an AMA, highlighting these key points: This bear market differs sharply from past cycles—he can’t confirm if the four-year cycle will hold. For the first time, the U.S. is strongly backing crypto: the new administration is supportive, and ongoing bill approvals are a positive sign. He expects other countries to follow if U.S. support continues. Stablecoins and real-world assets (RWAs) are growing rapidly. Recent community noise and widespread FUD are weighing on market sentiment. With so many moving parts, no one can clearly predict how each factor impacts the market—so he advises everyone to assess risks carefully when trading. He noted seeing both positive and negative forces now. Long-term, the industry will be fine—but he can’t forecast short-term moves (tomorrow, next month, or even this year). CZ added he’s being “honest but vague”: saying a lot without definitive answers, as the picture isn’t clear to him.