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Morgan Stanley: Fed Led by Powell Could Intensify US Treasury Market Volatility

2 hours ago

February 3rd, Morgan Stanley said the Federal Reserve under Kevin Warsh could exacerbate volatility in the U.S. Treasury market by reducing policy transparency. Warsh—nominated by Trump to succeed Powell as Fed chair in May—served as a Fed governor from 2006 to 2011. Morgan Stanley’s review of past Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes found Warsh wanted investors to form their own views on economic growth, inflation, and monetary policy. At the bank, analysts Hornbach and Tauber note the former governor favors a smaller balance sheet: this could push long-term Treasury yields higher relative to short-term yields, steepening the yield curve. A key concern, however, is that the Fed under Warsh may alter its communication strategy, raising investor uncertainty. Changes could include less media interaction from Fed officials (especially ahead of FOMC meetings) and potentially scrapping the “dot plot” forecasts or economic projections summary (per FXStreet).
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A Whale Long Position in Gold Preference has been established on xyz:GOLD, with trading volume on Hyperliquid for this contract approximately 12 times that of PAXG.

February 3rd — Per official data from Hyperliquid, synthetic gold asset xyz:GOLD has far outpaced physically-backed PAXG on the platform’s gold-related contracts. Its 24-hour trading volume hit ~$410 million — roughly 12x PAXG’s ~$34.5 million. Open interest (OI) for xyz:GOLD reached ~$170 million, more than double PAXG’s ~$77.7 million. Key asset comparisons: - PAXG (Paxos Standard, 1:1 physical gold-backed): 24hr vol ~$34.5M, OI ~$77.7M, up to 10x leverage - xyz:GOLD (TradeXYZ synthetic via HIP-3): 24hr vol ~$410M, OI ~$170M, up to 20x leverage Hyperliquid leads peers in total gold contract OI but trails Binance in trading volume. Binance’s PAXG contract logged ~$940M in 24hr volume (with ~$154M OI) and supports up to 75x leverage. Per HyperInsight monitoring, whale long positions using PAXG on Hyperliquid are generally under $4 million — while xyz:GOLD’s long positions are noticeably larger. This may stem from xyz:GOLD’s attributes, lower overall costs, better order

5 minutes ago

xAI is hiring a Cryptocurrency Finance Expert, hourly rate $45-100, focusing on Quantitative Trading, On-chain Analysis, and AI Model Training

On February 3, xAI posted a remote job opening for a Crypto Finance Expert, with an hourly pay range of $45 to $100, per official job listing data. The role will involve direct work on training, evaluating, and optimizing cutting-edge AI models, supplying high-quality professional annotations, quantitative analysis, and expert-level reasoning data for crypto markets to support model development. Key responsibilities include: - On-chain data and fund flow analysis - DeFi yield and liquidity modeling - Perpetual contract and funding rate strategies - Cross-market arbitrage across centralized (CEX) and decentralized (DEX) exchanges - Crypto market microstructure and MEV research - Machine learning-driven crypto alpha signals - Portfolio management and risk control for 24/7 high-volatility markets Additionally, candidates must create professional analysis in text, audio, and video formats to support AI model training and benchmarking. xAI seeks candidates with a m

5 minutes ago

Spot Gold has fully recovered from yesterday's decline, rising back above $1900/oz.

February 3 — Bitget market data shows spot gold has climbed above $1,900 per ounce, fully recouping yesterday’s losses with an intraday gain of over 5%. Additionally, spot palladium has hit $1,800 per ounce, up 6.68% intraday. Spot silver is up 9% on the day, currently trading at $86.39 per ounce. ### Notes on American English adaptation: 1. **Date format**: Uses "February 3 —" (em dash for brevity, common in U.S. news alerts) instead of a comma after the date. 2. **Financial terminology**: - "Climbed above" (natural for price moves) instead of "risen above"; - "Recouping yesterday’s losses" (more precise for "recovering decline") vs. generic "recovering"; - "Per ounce" (standard in U.S. financial writing) instead of "/oz"; - "Intraday gain" (common phrase) vs. "intraday increase"; - Omits trailing ".00" in "9% on the day" (U.S. style for whole numbers in quick updates). 3. **Flow**: Short, punchy sentences (typical of U.S. news alerts) with clear

5 minutes ago

Fasanara Capital Increases Holdings of 2,797 XAUT at an Average Price of $4823

February 3rd – Per Lookonchain monitoring, a whale is continuing to accumulate gold-related assets: - Fasanara Capital withdrew 2,797 XAUT from Binance today, worth ~$13.49 million at an average price of $4,823 per XAUT; - Wallet address 0xcd3a spent 3.1 million USDC three hours ago to purchase 647 XAUT at $4,790 per XAUT.

5 minutes ago

Arthur Hayes Excels at "Buying High and Selling Low"? On-Chain Data Reveals Multiple Losing Trades

February 3 — Per Lookonchain monitoring, Arthur Hayes has recently reduced his holdings in multiple cryptocurrencies, with several transactions showing a “buy high, sell low” pattern. Details follow: - **PENDLE**: Previously bought 1.4 million tokens at $2.06 each (≈$2.87 million); recently sold 327,869 tokens at $1.53 apiece (≈$502,000) - **ENA**: Purchased 15.8 million tokens at $0.23 each (≈$3.6 million); later sold 3.6 million tokens at $0.14 apiece (≈$499,000) - **LDO**: Also bought 2.3 million tokens at $0.56 each (≈$1.29 million); recently sold 2.31 million tokens at $0.42 apiece (≈$980,000) These moves have caught market attention, with some investors poking fun at his trading rhythm for tilting toward “buy high, sell low.” They also reflect the current market’s heightened volatility and shrinking risk appetite.

5 minutes ago

Gold and Silver Experience "V-Shaped Recovery," Gold Rebounds 11%, Silver Rebounds Nearly 20%

February 3rd: Markets shifted sharply from yesterday’s panic selling to a strong rebound today, currently trading above yesterday’s lows. - Gold jumped 11% to approximately $4,882; - Silver soared nearly 20% to around $85.24. Meanwhile, market expectations of a restart of U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations have surged to 93%, gradually easing bearish pressure from geopolitical tensions.

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