Prominent Analyst: BTC/Gold Technical Indicator Hits Historic Low, Strong Rebound Imminent
On January 15, prominent crypto analyst @IamCryptoWolf shared a post on X noting that the weekly RSI for the BTC/gold ratio currently sits at an oversold level of ~27.54.
Historically, such low readings have preceded strong BTC outperformance relative to gold—with the ratio surging over 100% multiple times following key reversal points since 2013 (e.g., 2015, 2018). End-of-2025 market data shows the ratio hit a three-year low, and the analyst expects macroeconomic conditions to drive further BTC outperformance over gold in 2026.
With 113,000 followers on X, @IamCryptoWolf first published analysis on TradingView in 2014. Notably, the analyst predicted in early November that Ethereum would correct that month, adding that a drop below $3,100 would signal the start of a bear market.
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Mainstream Perp DEX Overview: Hyperliquid's Open Interest Reaches Nearly Three-Month High at Around $9.65 Billion
January 15 — Perpetual DEX (Perp DEX) Hyperliquid’s open interest hit a nearly three-month high of $9.645 billion over the past 24 hours, per DefiLlama data. Its prior three-month peak was around $9.658 billion, while its trading volume led the segment.
Key Perp DEX metrics (past 24h):
- Hyperliquid: ~$8.82B trading volume | ~$4.36B TVL | ~$9.65B open interest
- Aster: ~$6.47B trading volume | ~$1.25B TVL | ~$2.79B open interest
- Lighter: ~$4.75B trading volume | ~$1.19B TVL | ~$1.5B open interest
- EdgeX: ~$3.87B trading volume | ~$0.416B TVL | ~$1.21B open interest
- Variational: ~$1.89B trading volume | ~$66.18M TVL | ~$1.1B open interest
- Extended: ~$1.87B trading volume | ~$1.91B TVL | ~$2.95B open interest
- Pacifica: ~$0.948B trading volume | ~$45.81M TVL | ~$88M open interest
Reference links: [Hyperliquid](https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/join/NTOD), [Aster](https://www.asterdex.com/en/referral/aboter), [Lighter](https://app.lighter.xyz/?referral=70045843), [Pa
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During Bitcoin's break above $97,000, over 40,000 profitable Bitcoins were transferred to CEX.
January 15th — Analyst Darkfost compiled on-chain metric data to note that while Bitcoin’s strong short-term rebound pushed it above $97,000, short-term holders (STHs) appear more focused on taking profits.
Yesterday, as Bitcoin broke above the $97,000 mark, more than 40,000 BTC held in profitable positions were moved to centralized exchanges (CEXs). Darkfost noted that STHs clearly still remain rattled by the recent correction, and seem to need further upside potential and more solid confirmation to rebuild confidence — plus enough unrealized profits to feel comfortable holding rather than selling.
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glassnode: Bitcoin Supply Distribution Above $80,000 Forms Persistent Price Barrier
On January 15, Glassnode noted via its latest Bitcoin Short-Term Holder Cost Basis Distribution (CBD) heatmap that Bitcoin’s price consolidation in the $80k-$95k range stems from concentrated overhead supply — a factor creating resistance relative to recent buyers’ cost basis.
The heatmap shows this overhead supply has blocked multiple rebound attempts, keeping prices stagnant even as buying interest has continued to climb following pullbacks. Should demand hold above $80k, a breakout could be triggered.
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A Whale Liquidated a $15.25M ETH Long Position, Profiting $90K
On January 15, monitoring from crypto analytics platform HyperInsight (via its Telegram channel @HyperInsight) revealed that a whale closed a $15.25 million ETH long position at 18:03, netting a $90,000 profit. The account also holds a small unrealized gain.
The address primarily trades major cryptocurrencies using a high-leverage, full-position strategy, frequently switching between long and short positions on the same day.
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