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Lighter's Pre-Market Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) is $3.4 billion, with the corresponding event probability on Polymarket being only 47%.

2 hours ago

On December 29, market data shows Lighter (LIT) is trading at $3.423 in pre-market, with a corresponding fully diluted valuation (FDV) of $34.23 billion. Meanwhile, Polymarket odds put the probability of Lighter (LIT)’s FDV topping $30 billion one day post-listing at just 47%. As of press time, total funds staked on this prediction have hit $50.4 million.
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QCP: BTC Price Distortion due to Holiday Liquidity Thinning, Directional Choices Await Liquidity Reversion

On Dec 29, analysts at QCP Capital noted Bitcoin (BTC) surged ~2.6% in early trading, with holiday-related illiquidity driving price distortions. The rally was fueled more by spot and perpetual buying pressure than liquidation activity. Deribit’s BTC perpetual funding rate climbed above 30%, signaling traders hold short gamma positions on the upside. If BTC holds above $94k, it could trigger amplified hedging buying pressure. On the downside: $85k December put options were not rolled over, with open interest dropping ~50% post-expiry. This reflects market participants’ focus on monitoring, directional uncertainty, or a wait for liquidity to return.

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During a Whale's Downtrend, They Shorted Bitcoin 10x, Holding a Position Worth Over $36 Million

On December 29, Onchain Lens data shows a whale address that previously sold 255 BTC doubled down on shorting Bitcoin amid the market dip. The address currently holds 409.58 BTC worth $36 million, with an entry price of $87,892.

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The "Buddy" continued to accumulate ETH and enter long positions on HYPE during the downturn, increasing the total position value to $25.2 million

December 29: Per HyperInsight monitoring, the entity “Big Brother” continued ramping up its long positions in Ethereum (ETH) and HYPE amid a market downturn. As of press time, its total position value has climbed to $25.2 million. Position details: - 25x ETH long: 8,000 coins, liquidation price $2,875 - 10x HYPE long: 55,000 coins

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CoinShares: Digital asset investment products saw outflows of $446 million last week

**CoinShares Weekly Report: Digital Asset Products Post $446M Outflow Last Week, Total Since Oct. 10 Hits $3.2B** CoinShares released its latest weekly report on Dec. 29, noting digital asset products recorded a $446 million outflow last week—pushing total outflows since Oct. 10 to $3.2 billion. The data signals market sentiment hasn’t fully rebounded. Outflows were primarily concentrated in the U.S., while Germany continued to see inflows, indicating selective buying amid recent price dips. XRP and Solana ETFs have kept drawing inflows since their launch, a stark contrast to ongoing outflows from Bitcoin and Ethereum over the same period.

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Binance Wallet: Alpha airdrop happening tonight at 9:00 PM, point threshold is 241 points

Per an official announcement dated December 29th, Binance Wallet will distribute the Alpha Airdrop tonight at 9:00 PM. Users with a minimum of 241 Binance Alpha Points can claim the tokens on a first-come, first-served basis until the airdrop pool is exhausted or the event concludes.

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Bitcoin Falls Below $88,000, Down 1.65% in the Past Hour

December 29th: Bitcoin drops below $88k, currently trading at $87,980 — down 1.65% in the past hour, per HTX market data.

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