After the Key Vote, Market Bets on "US Government Reopening from the 12th to the 15th"
On November 10th, following a procedural vote on the "Government Shutdown Ending Solution" in the U.S. Senate, the probability on Polymarket that the "U.S. Government Reopens from the 12th to the 15th" soared to 80%.
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「Former 100% Win Rate」 Whale Sees $10 Million Principal Shrink to $600,000, Account Value Once Reached High of $57 Million
On November 10th, as per the monitoring of
HyperInsight, the "Former 100% Win Rate" whale transferred $10 million to Hyperliquid starting from October 14th. It opened positions with a similar timing and method as "BTC OG" and achieved a profit of $15.83 million within half a month. The peak unrealized profit reached nearly $26 million, and the account value once exceeded $57 million.
Subsequently, due to heavy-position longing and retracement averaging, the address recorded a loss of $44.67 million from November 3rd to 5th through four trades. After making multiple attempts to chase the rise and kill the fall of BTC and ZEC, the account funds shrank to $595,000, representing a nearly 94% retracement from the initial $10 million investment. Since closing the BTC long position on November 8th, no new positions have been opened for two days.
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HTX DeepThink: US Government Shutdown Continues to Disrupt Data Outlook, Fed Shifts Focus to Post-Market Potential QE
November 10th. The columnist of HTX DeepThink and the researcher of HTX Research, Chloe, pointed out that the U.S. government shutdown has been ongoing for more than a month. With no substantial progress in budget negotiations, official economic data is lacking, and the market can only rely on private sector indicators to assess the economic trend. According to ADP data, in October, private sector job growth slowed to 42,000, and wage growth remained at 4.5%, indicating a significant cooling of the labor market. The strengthening U.S. dollar led to a decline of about 1.5% in gold for the week, and the market's expectation of a rate cut in December dropped to around 71%.
On-chain data shows that after whales reduced their holdings at a high level, they began to accumulate again at a lower level, and institutional buying continued through OTC. Stablecoin inflows reached $2.8 billion, but the growth rate slowed down, reflecting a wait-and-see attitude among investors.
The Federal Reserv
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James Wynn Addresses Community: Has Leveraged 30% of Holdings in Stablecoin into a Short Position, Anticipating Bitcoin to Drop to $92,000
On November 10th, James Wynn posted to address the community and said, "I have completely sold off all my crypto assets (except for the portion that I will never touch, my long-term BTC holdings). In just the past few hours, I have taken 30% of my stablecoin holdings and gone completely into a short leverage position. No kidding, I have gone all in with everything I can bet, at full speed, and I am walking the talk."
"But if I am correct — I firmly believe that Bitcoin will fall back to the $67,000–92,000 range, then all of you will need to publicly apologize, admitting that James Wynn has been right all along."
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After a procedural vote in the U.S. Senate, the end date of the shutdown remains uncertain
November 10th. As per the U.S. traditional political media The Hill's report, although the U.S. Senate has passed a procedural vote on the "government shutdown ending deal," there are still additional steps to be undertaken before the government can resume operations. Any senator has the potential to delay the deliberation of the deal for several days. Moreover, the House of Representatives must reconvene and pass the agreement reached by the Senate before it can be forwarded to President Donald Trump for signing.
According to relevant information, after the procedural vote is approved, the Senate must amend three appropriation bills (Legislative, Military Construction, and Agriculture, including the SNAP program) and then send them back to the House of Representatives. Each amendment will set off a 30-hour debate period, which may lead to delays in the process.
If the Democrats decide to extend these debates, the government may not
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The U.S. Senate has passed a procedural vote on the "Government Shutdown Endgame Plan."
Update, November 10: The U.S. Senate has officially passed a novel stopgap funding bill, which will provide government funding until January 30 to bring an end to the government shutdown. All the votes have been counted, with 60 in support and 40 against.
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