Lookonchain APP

App Store

Federal Reserve's Harker: May Temporarily Hold Rates Steady

2025.02.08 00:32:20

February 8th: On this day, the US January seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls reached 143,000. This figure is significantly lower than the market's expected level of 170,000 and hits a new low since October of last year. Federal Reserve's Gullsby provided comments on the macro data, stating, "This is a rather robust non-farm payroll report. It appears that we are on the verge of achieving full employment. Based on recent observations, I am optimistic that tariffs will not ultimately pose a significant obstacle to trade. I am satisfied with the current economic development path. Tariffs may act as a 'wrench' in the supply chain. Wage growth is roughly in line with the 2% inflation level. Long-term market-oriented inflation expectations suggest that the market believes the Fed will be able to keep inflation under control at 2%." "Currently, the Federal Reserve is keeping interest rates unchanged. However, in the next 12 to 18 months, interest rates will be slightly lower than the current level. Under greater uncertainty, the pace of interest rate cuts will slow down. In the process of achieving the 2% inflation target, we may temporarily maintain interest rates unchanged. The neutral balance point for interest rates has decreased. Stable interest rates need to be achieved on a 'cautious' timetable. I do not think the Federal Reserve will be involved in any sovereign wealth fund." (Jin Shi)
Relevant content

「Silver Sparrow Air Force」 briefly opened BTC and ETH short positions, with a combined initial position size of $29 million.

March 30th — Per HyperInsight monitoring (via Telegram: https://t.me/HyperInsight), short-focused whale address 0x61c (nicknamed "Silver Iron Head Air Force") briefly opened BTC and ETH short positions with average entry prices of $67,500 and $2,055, respectively, totaling ~$4M in position size. Concurrently, the address has placed a slew of orders above current levels: 200 orders across two categories totaling ~$29M, set to execute if prices rise. - BTC: ~$20M in sell orders placed between $68k and $70k; - ETH: ~$5M in sell orders placed between $2,080 and $2,120. Additionally, 100 BTC buy orders are positioned between $62k and $63k, intended to gradually take profits as prices hit that range.

1 seconds ago

Powell to Speak Tonight: Middle East Situation Adding to Inflation Pressure, Rate Cut Expectations Face Another Test

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will take part in a public event and live Q&A session tonight at 22:30 Beijing time (March 30). Amid ongoing Middle East tensions and heightened market volatility, this appearance ranks among the week’s most anticipated macroeconomic events. Markets widely expect Powell to maintain a cautious stance, avoiding clear signals on the rate-cut path. With inflation still above the Fed’s 2% target and added uncertainty from tariffs and geopolitical conflicts, the probability of the Fed holding rates steady in the near term is rising—reinforcing the “no rate cut” narrative. Tensions persist between former President Donald Trump and the Federal Reserve. If Powell delivers a hawkish or wait-and-see signal, markets anticipate Trump will again exert pressure, escalating the policy standoff. On the fundamental front, signs of weakness have emerged in the U.S. labor market: February saw a sharp drop in job additions, pressuring the economic outlook and pl

1 seconds ago

Gold Swing Whale Acquires Additional $3.388 Million PAXG at an Average Price of $4684

March 30: Per AI Monitor Auntie, wallet address 0x3Cc5e0388Ecbdc77cD42655129ede0253d4D87Cf has launched another "Golden Cross Wave" after a one-month hiatus. 3 hours ago, it withdrew 586 PAXG (valued at $2.66 million) from Binance. Cumulatively, this wave has involved $3.388 million worth of tokens, with an average entry price of $4,684. Its previous wave—valued at $6.84 million—ultimately resulted in a $267,000 loss.

1 seconds ago

Binance will list BASEDUSDT perpetual contracts

March 30 — Binance will list the BASEDUSDT perpetual contract, per an official announcement.

1 seconds ago

Whale Hedge Fund with $48M Long BTC Position Outperforms HYPE, Nets $1.28M Intraday Profit

March 30th — According to monitoring from Hyperinsight (via t.me/HyperInsight), the whale address 0x939 continues to hold a BTC/HYPE hedge pair: a **$28.5 million long position in BTC** (average entry price: $70,557) and a **$19.38 million short position in HYPE** (average entry price: $39). Today, BTC extended its gains, while HYPE briefly tracked BTC’s upward move before retreating below $38 — posting a 4.5% 24-hour drop. Both positions have performed well, with the pair generating **over $1.28 million in profits in the past 24 hours** — validating its bet that BTC would outperform HYPE. This address previously deployed a similar strategy: holding a ~$50 million long position in BTC while shorting ETH, XRP, ADA, and 8 other tokens. That strategy paid off, and its cumulative profit for that cycle still stands at approximately $37.1 million.

1 seconds ago

Institution: Dollar Strengthens Again Amid Escalating War Concerns

On March 30, the U.S. dollar strengthened again as escalating Middle East conflict concerns lifted oil prices and damped risk sentiment. Earlier, the yen firmed after Japanese officials ramped up warnings about potential intervention to support the currency, prompting a slight dollar pullback. But the dollar’s decline was limited and short-lived, buoyed by its safe-haven appeal and the U.S.’s status as a net oil exporter. ING Group’s Chris Turner noted in a report: “Unless Iran delivers a clear easing signal, the dollar is unlikely to give up its monthly gains in the short term.” (FX168)

1 seconds ago