Buffett Indicator Hits All-Time High, Signaling U.S. Stock Market Is Overvalued
Jan. 11 data from Barchart shows the current Buffett Indicator—total U.S. stock market capitalization-to-GDP ratio—stands at roughly 223% to 224%, with some sources even pegging it near 230%. That’s an all-time high, exceeding peaks of the 2000 dot-com bubble (≈150%) and the 2021 post-pandemic high.
Historically, the indicator’s long-term average (since 1970) is about 80% to 100%, while 100% to 120% is considered a relatively normal "fair value" range.
The Buffett Indicator is one of Warren Buffett’s most trusted broad market valuation metrics; he’s called it the "single best measure of where valuations stand at any given moment."
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Analysis: Bitfinex Whale Bitcoin Long Position far exceeds Short Position, similar to last year's April bottom situation
Crypto analyst CW notes that data on whale positions on Bitfinex shows the platform’s Bitcoin long positions total roughly 72,000 BTC, while short positions are just 286 BTC.
A similar scenario unfolded in April last year, when Bitcoin hit its annual low of $74,000. CW says the current position distribution signals Bitfinex whales are bullish on the market’s future.
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Whale Smart Money Ethereum Holding Increased to 3100 Coins
On-chain analyst Ai Auntie (@ai_9684xtpa) noted on Jan 11 that the whale address 0x69b...0e378 has expanded its swing trading ETH position to 3,100 ETH in this cycle.
Five hours ago, the address completed its third withdrawal of 503.01 ETH from Binance. Over the past two days, it has accumulated a total of $9,543,000 worth of ETH, with an average withdrawal price of $3,078.5.
The $9,570,000 in USDT the address deposited to Binance two days ago should now be fully deployed to build this ETH position.
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X Product Manager Criticized for "Crypto Tweetstorm Suicide," Sparks Backlash in Crypto Community
Jan. 11 — Nikita Bier, X Product Lead and Solana Advisor, posted on the platform noting a common belief circulating on Crypto Twitter (CT) since last October: users must reply hundreds of times daily to grow their accounts.
Bier explained each post consumes daily "influence," and since the average user scrolls just 20–30 posts per day, the platform can’t show all a user’s posts to every follower. This leads CT users to waste their influence on hundreds of "gm" replies, leaving few followers to see substantial content like project announcements.
He attributed CT’s decline to user behavior, not algorithmic issues, saying: "Crypto Twitter is dying from suicide."
The post sparked community dissatisfaction. LedgArt co-founder KALEO argued Bier failed to take a user-centric approach to support growth and long-term engagement, and attempted to stifle X’s crypto community. KALEO called for Bier’s immediate resignation; Bier has since deleted the related posts.
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Chinese memes on BSC and memes from the Solana ecosystem take over this week's hot topics, with several tokens seeing a tenfold increase in price.
**Crypto Meme Coin Update: BSC Chinese Coins, Solana Meme Stars Dominate Spotlight**
After mainstream meme coins surged last week, Chinese meme coins on BSC and Solana ecosystem tokens grabbed this week’s market spotlight—with multiple projects hitting new all-time highs.
Per GMGN market data:
- **The White Whale (Solana)** jumped 513.7% in two weeks, pushing its market cap to $200 million.
- **114514** rallied sharply over two days, peaking at a $30 million valuation before retracing quickly.
On BSC, Chinese meme coins took center stage:
- **Binance Life** listed on Binance Spot this week, acting as a key catalyst. As of press time, it holds a $182 million market cap with a 45.1% weekly gain.
- **Life Candlestick** topped $27 million (now $27.46M), up nearly 10x in two days.
- **Here I F**king Come** launched Jan 12; current market cap $41.91M, up over 50x in four days.
- **Your Dad** launched <48 hours ago, already topping $10 million in market cap.
**BlockBea
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