Justin Sun: Li Lin Once Concealed Due Diligence Materials, I Lent the Company $30 Million to Fill the Gap

Crypto analyst Ali Charts wrote in a post that as the November 3 US midterm elections approach, investors may overlook the recurring Bitcoin pullbacks seen in previous election cycles. He believes this election could again bring significant volatility, with downside risks worth noting, and his key support level to watch is $73,000. According to his statistics, Bitcoin saw pullbacks of 72%, 65%, 52%, and 27% during the US midterm election cycles in 2010, 2014, 2018, and 2022 respectively. However, he emphasized that correlation does not equal causation; the elections themselves may not be the cause of the drops, and these pullbacks are also influenced by Bitcoin’s overall market cycle, liquidity conditions, and investor sentiment. Q4 returns show a similar pattern: Bitcoin fell 16.70%, 42.16%, and 14.75% in Q4 of 2014, 2018, and 2022 respectively. The only exception was 2010, when it rose 391%—though Bitcoin was still in its early stages back then. As a result, three of the past four midterm election years saw negative Q4 returns. Regarding future price action, Ali Charts noted that the $73,000 level is near the average acquisition cost of Bitcoin’s current short-term holders, making it a key area to monitor the positioning of recent investors. He pointed out that in an established bull market, Bitcoin often finds support near the short-term holder average cost after a significant pullback. He believes that if selling pressure accelerates after the November 3 elections, pushing Bitcoin back toward $73,000, this zone will be a critical level to test whether buyers are still willing to uphold the overall bullish trend. If prices rebound sustainably from this area, it will reinforce the bullish thesis. For trading, he will wait for signs of selling pressure drying up and demand reemerging before considering opening long positions.

According to Bloomberg, citing people familiar with the matter, SpaceX is negotiating a $40 billion off-balance-sheet debt financing plan, which would use a special purpose vehicle (SPV) to purchase Nvidia chips to support its AI business expansion. The structure is designed to keep the related liabilities off SpaceX’s balance sheet, preserving its investment-grade credit rating. However, recent turmoil in the AI sector has pushed up industry borrowing costs, complicating pricing negotiations. Banks led by Goldman Sachs are discussing the plan with investors led by Apollo; Apollo-backed Atlas SP would manage the entity, with Pimco also considering participation. Previously, yields on some subordinated debt were discussed in the mid-8% to 9% range, but recent volatility has prompted investors to reevaluate pricing, and the two sides remain in talks. SpaceX’s financial filings this week also revealed that last year, xAI had attempted to raise up to $20 billion in off-balance-sheet debt via a sale-leaseback arrangement with Valor Equity Partners. Auditors classified the deal as a “failed sale-leaseback arrangement”, leading SpaceX to eventually record roughly $13 billion of the sum as its own debt. The proposed structure aims to avoid a repeat of that outcome.

Data from Korea Financial Investment Association shows that as of October 22, investor deposits at South Korean securities firms fell to 88.68 trillion won, a drop of around 51 trillion won from the all-time high of 139.69 trillion won recorded on June 4, representing a 36.5% decline and returning to levels seen at the start of the year. The balance dipped below 90 trillion won on October 21, marking the first such drop in nearly nine months. Investor deposits refer to funds held in securities firm accounts that have not yet been used to purchase assets such as stocks, and are typically viewed as potential buying power. The decline in the balance can stem from either stock purchases or fund withdrawals, so the full drop cannot be equated to capital exiting the stock market. Retail investors continue to make net purchases. Between June 4 and October 23, individual investors bought a net 44.17 trillion won in the KOSPI market and 3.15 trillion won in the KOSDAQ market, while net purchases of ETFs over the same period reached 28.25 trillion won. The report notes that unlike the first half of the year, where new capital inflows exceeded stock purchases, the pace of capital replenishment in the second half has lagged behind outflows, leading to the continuous decline in deposit balances. The KOSPI index closed at 5550.30 points on October 23, having fallen nearly 20% over the past month. A securities industry official said the recent decline is indeed excessive relative to earnings fundamentals, but the AI sector, which previously drove gains, still faces credit risk concerns, making it too early to expect a sustained rebound.

Renowned crypto trader Doctor Profit stated in a post that every time Bitcoin hits its "buy zone", it is an opportune moment to add to existing long positions, and he is currently executing this strategy. His accompanying chart labels the area near $80,000 as the "buy zone", emphasizing: "This zone is for buying, not panicking."

Two senior Iranian security officials have revealed that Iran has drawn up plans to strike submarine communications cables in the Gulf if the U.S. and Israel launch another attack; one official added that they will also block repairs to extend the communication outage. Officials from Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) had previously threatened to target seven major undersea internet cables beneath the Strait of Hormuz if Iran’s infrastructure is attacked. These threats have introduced new communication risks to cloud computing and AI infrastructure in the Gulf region. Reuters reported that past attacks by Iran hit two Amazon Web Services (AWS) facilities in the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and damaged infrastructure near an AWS facility in Bahrain. Analysts noted that simultaneous damage to multiple cables could disrupt financial transactions, e-commerce, and cloud services, though the actual impact depends on traffic rerouting capabilities and backup line capacity. International bandwidth passing through the Strait of Hormuz accounts for less than 1% of the global total, so the direct impact on global communications may be limited. Microsoft plans to invest over $10 billion in the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Kuwait by 2030, and allocate more than $400 million to improve submarine and terrestrial network connections in the Middle East, to enhance the resilience of its digital infrastructure.

According to Farside's monitoring, net inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs totaled $301.2 million this week. The breakdown is as follows: BlackRock’s IBIT saw a net inflow of $565.7 million; FBTC recorded a net outflow of $116.6 million; BITB posted a net outflow of $18.5 million; ARKB had a net outflow of $99.6 million; EZBC notched a net inflow of $7.3 million; MSBT saw a net inflow of $6.5 million; GBTC registered a net outflow of $51.8 million; and BTC recorded a net inflow of $8.2 million.