US Troop Buildup Targets Iran Mainland, Geopolitical Tensions Escalate Again, Crypto Market Maintains Sideways Movement
### March 29 Crypto & Geopolitics Brief
#### Crypto Market Update
Per HTX market data, the crypto market traded sideways in a narrow range Wednesday. Key prices:
- Bitcoin: ~$66,500
- Ethereum: ~$2,000
- SOL: ~$82
- BNB: ~$613
Total crypto market cap rose 0.5% over 24 hours to $2.375 trillion. Top altcoin movers:
**Gainers**:
- NOM: +64.6% (now $0.0029)
- ONT: +23.1% (now $0.061)
- IDEX: +19.9% (now $0.0037)
**Losers**:
- PAITI: -12.44% (now $0.0873)
- DEGO: -8.6% (now $0.317)
- TOWNS: -8.09% (now $0.0034)
#### US-Iran Tensions Escalate
- **Iran**:
- Bushehr Nuclear Plant hit 3x in 10 days.
- President: No preemptive action, but will retaliate; calls US words/acts "self-contradictory," deepening mistrust.
- Revolutionary Guard: Retaliation will be "beyond imagination" if US targets Iranian industrial systems.
- Nuclear scientist Mohsen Fakhrizadeh and wife killed in recent attack.
- **US**:
- Marines deployed to US Central Co
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Anthropic's "Shadow Stock" VCX is about to go on-chain, xStocks will launch its tokenized version VCXx
March 29 — Tokenization platform xStocks has partnered with alternative investment platform Fundrise to tokenize the recently listed closed-end Fundrise Innovation Fund (VCX), launching its tokenized iteration VCXx.
As a shadow stock vehicle for firms including Anthropic, OpenAI, and SpaceX, VCX lets retail investors tap into pre-IPO star companies. Anthropic makes up 21% of the fund’s holdings, while OpenAI accounts for 10%. The fund has been in high demand on the U.S. stock market since its March 19 launch, when it opened at $31 per share. It briefly spiked to $575 and is now trading at $173.
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Canada Proposes Banning Cryptocurrency for Political Donations
On March 29, CoinDesk reported that the Canadian government introduced the *Strong and Free Elections Act* (Bill C-25) on March 26. The legislation would ban political donations to parties and candidates via cryptocurrency, money orders, and prepaid cards, citing the pseudo-anonymity of these assets—which hinders donor identity verification and threatens election integrity. The bill is currently in its first reading stage in the House of Commons.
Separately, the UK’s Labour Party recently stated it will take “interim measures” to suspend political entities from accepting cryptocurrency donations until updated regulatory frameworks address foreign election interference risks. The move is expected to directly impact the Reform Party’s funding, as Nigel Farage’s leadership of the party has drawn substantial donations from the crypto industry.
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Morgan Stanley Bitcoin Physical ETF has a management fee of 0.14%, lower than all competitors
On March 28, Morgan Stanley filed an amended S-1 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for its proposed spot Bitcoin ETF, MSBT. The firm announced the ETF will charge a 0.14% annualized sponsorship fee—making it the lowest-cost spot Bitcoin ETF in the U.S. if approved.
Should the ETF receive regulatory approval, its fee would undercut Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust (0.15%) and be 11 basis points lower than the 0.25% fees charged by BlackRock and Fidelity’s spot Bitcoin ETFs.
Morgan Stanley plans to list MSBT on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) with an initial 10,000 shares and $1 million in seed investment. Custody will be handled by Coinbase and BNY Mellon, with the ETF expected to launch in early April.
Analysts note the pricing is a smart, competitive move likely to drive asset migration: Previous fee differentials have led to significant outflows from Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust to competing products.
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Kalshi Prediction Market Platform Sued in Washington State
On March 29, Washington State Attorney General Nick Brown filed a civil lawsuit against prediction market platform Kalshi in King County Superior Court, accusing it of violating state law by offering services for betting on sports events, elections, and wars—framed as entertainment.
The suit seeks to bar Kalshi from operating in the state, recover losses for Washington residents, and impose civil penalties. It also alleges Kalshi’s ads promoted ways for users to skirt local laws to participate in NFL prediction markets, demonstrating a "knowing violation" of state rules.
In response, Kalshi pushed back, stating it is a federally regulated, compliant trading platform. The company denied offering markets tied to war-related events and expressed confidence in prevailing in the legal fight.
This marks Kalshi’s latest regulatory run-in: it already faces over 20 civil lawsuits nationwide. Notably, an Arizona prosecutor previously brought criminal charges against the platform—the fir
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The Pentagon is preparing for weeks-long ground operation in Iran
On March 29, *The Washington Post* reported that U.S. officials stated the Pentagon is preparing for weeks-long ground operations in Iran.
Per monitoring by PolyBeats (via the Telegram bot at https://t.me/PolyBeats_Bot), the prediction market Polymarket currently puts the probability of U.S. military forces entering Iran at 11% by the end of this month, and 62% by the end of April.
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