Lookonchain APP

App Store

Point of View: The Federal Reserve Has Over-Eased, with a 65% Chance of Stagflation in the United States

2025.04.18 15:48:23

On April 18th, Adam Posen, who has held positions in the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, stated in a speech this week, "We may be on the verge of a recession or we might not. Nevertheless, in either case, we will be confronted with inflation." Posen, currently serving as the President of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, wields significant influence. He believes that there is a 65% probability of a recession. Regarding the Fed, Posen thinks that given the still relatively high level of inflation, it has cut interest rates too vigorously. Once prices start to rise again, the Fed may not be able to keep pace with the changes. As a consequence, the Fed may be compelled to raise interest rates rapidly and significantly, thereby placing additional stress on the economy. If all these scenarios were to come to pass, Posen said that repairing this damage could take several years or even longer. (FXStreet)
Relevant content

SK Hynix Rebounds with a 9.7% Gain, Trader 'yixie' Realizes Another $1.25 Million Profit

On June 17, Hyperinsight Monitoring (Telegram: @HyperInsight) reported that South Korea’s stock market stabilized after reversing an intraday decline. SK Hynix saw a sharp unilateral reversal, jumping over 9.7% from its intraday low to a peak daily gain of 4.6%. Currently on Hyperliquid, SKHYNIX trades at $1,660, just 1.69% below its all-time high (ATH). Renowned trader yixie (Telegram: @yixie10), who has notched multiple profitable trades in the semiconductor storage sector, went long SKHYNIX at the market bottom nine days ago. His position now holds $1.25 million in floating profit, representing a ~68% return, with an entry price of $1,239.9 and a total position size of around $4.94 million. Last week, amid a broad sell-off in U.S. stocks, yixie bottom-fished Micron Technology (MU) when MU traded at $878.8. Over the past week, this long position has accrued ~$245,000 in floating profit, a ~45% return, with MU now trading at $1,066. Wallet address: 0xa65ce1d604fa901c13aa29f2126a57d

2 minutes ago

South Korea's KOSPI Index rose by 0.83%, with Samsung Electronics posting an intraday gain of 4.62%.

June 17 – According to Bitget market data, South Korea’s KOSPI index gained 0.83% intraday, while Samsung Electronics surged 4.62% during the same trading session.

2 minutes ago

S&P 500 Futures Up 0.3%, Nasdaq Futures Up 0.6%

U.S. stock index futures were higher on June 17, according to market data, with S&P 500 index futures rising 0.3% and Nasdaq index futures advancing 0.6%.

2 minutes ago

Kalshi Co-Founder: Plans to Expand Perpetual Futures Business Beyond Digital Assets, Currently in Talks with Regulatory Agencies

June 17 (Bloomberg) — Prediction market platform Kalshi plans to expand its perpetual contract business beyond digital assets, co-founder Tarek Mansour announced. The company is in discussions with regulators to add contract options for additional asset classes. Launched just two weeks ago, Kalshi’s perpetual contract product has already generated over $5.5 billion in total trading volume. To date, the platform offers 11 perpetual contracts, all tied to cryptocurrencies.

2 minutes ago

Since the signing of the agreement by Trump for the first time: WTI crude oil has fallen by 15.8%, with a whale making a same-day short position with a floating profit of $3.45 million

June 17 update, via Hyperinsight’s Telegram monitoring (https://t.me/HyperInsight): Since early June 12, when Trump scrapped the planned strike on Iran and explicitly announced arrangements to sign a peace deal, WTI crude oil has pulled back 15.8% from its recent high. Recently, as details of the U.S.-Iran agreement emerge and market expectations rise for a reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, WTI crude dipped below $75 today. WTIOIL on Hyperliquid is currently trading at $74.92; since the official start of the U.S.-Iran war on February 28, oil prices have retraced 87.7% of their earlier gains. A Hyperliquid whale opened a short position on June 12, shorting 42,139 WTIOIL contracts with 20x leverage, for a total position value of roughly $31.57 million. This position now holds an unrealized profit of $3.45 million, translating to a ~200% return. The average entry price was $83.10, making this the largest WTIOIL short position on the platform. Wallet Address: 0x9e8b1e51c642f4c8b87c6ba1

2 minutes ago

Israel has carried out a drone strike on southern Lebanon

June 17: According to Al Arabiya, Israel launched a drone strike on the southern Lebanese town of Ansariyeh. (FXStreet)

2 minutes ago