Lookonchain APP

App Store

Point of View: The Federal Reserve Has Over-Eased, with a 65% Chance of Stagflation in the United States

2025.04.18 15:48:23

On April 18th, Adam Posen, who has held positions in the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, stated in a speech this week, "We may be on the verge of a recession or we might not. Nevertheless, in either case, we will be confronted with inflation." Posen, currently serving as the President of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, wields significant influence. He believes that there is a 65% probability of a recession. Regarding the Fed, Posen thinks that given the still relatively high level of inflation, it has cut interest rates too vigorously. Once prices start to rise again, the Fed may not be able to keep pace with the changes. As a consequence, the Fed may be compelled to raise interest rates rapidly and significantly, thereby placing additional stress on the economy. If all these scenarios were to come to pass, Posen said that repairing this damage could take several years or even longer. (FXStreet)
Relevant content

Whale 0xC8b5 opens 3x long on 37,229 $SKHX ($37.3M), already up $778K despite previous $1M losses

Whale 0xC8b5 is heavily long on $SKHX! The whale opened a 3x long on 37,229 $SKHX ($37.3M) and is already up $778K. However, he has lost more than $1M on each of the previous 3 trades.

11 minutes ago

Korea Investment & Securities raises SK Hynix's target price to $3,236

Korea Investment Securities today raised SK Hynix's target price to 4.7 million won (approximately $3,236), far above today's closing price of 1.41 million won. Earlier today, South Korea's large financial group Mirae Asset released a research report cutting SK Hynix's target price from 4.2 million won to 2.8 million won.

11 minutes ago

Ethereum Institutional has completed its ecosystem funding round, led by BitMine, SharpLink, and Ethereum co-founders.

Ethereum Institutional, an institutional-grade Ethereum ecosystem service provider, announced the completion of its initial ecosystem funding round and the formation of its supporter alliance, securing backing from over 100 ecosystem participants. The round was led by BitMine, SharpLink, and Ethereum co-founders Joseph Lubin and Mihai Alisie; the funding amount was not disclosed. The institution stated that the capital will be used to accelerate its work on tokenization, stablecoins, and on-chain market infrastructure. Ethereum Institutional added that in the coming months, it will strengthen direct engagement with banks, asset management firms, custodians, market infrastructure providers, fintech companies, and sovereign institutions, advancing specific initiatives related to tokenization, stablecoins, market infrastructure, and on-chain settlement, while expanding core business areas including institutional education, market intelligence, and ecosystem marketing. It will also continue collaborating with the broader Ethereum ecosystem community, including L2 teams, application developers, infrastructure providers, and custodian service providers.

11 minutes ago

US Vice President and US Secretary of Defense successively held meetings with Netanyahu.

According to AXIOS, Israeli officials said U.S. Vice President Vance met with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Tuesday. U.S. Defense Secretary Hegseth will meet with Netanyahu today.

11 minutes ago

US stock indices opened lower, while AI stocks traded mixed.

According to market data from BIT (bit.com), U.S. stocks opened lower, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 0.8%, the S&P 500 index down 0.18%, and the Nasdaq down 0.12%. In individual stock moves, GlobalFoundries rose 0.57% after securing up to $300 million in U.S. government funding. AI stocks were mixed: SK Hynix opened down roughly 1%, Nvidia fell 0.61%. Storage stocks outperformed, with SanDisk up around 2% and STX gaining 7%.

11 minutes ago

Bitget to list Grvt (GRVT) spot trading

Bitget will list Grvt (GRVT) spot trading on its DeFi section. Deposits are now open, and trading will commence at 22:00 UTC+8 on July 30.

11 minutes ago