Lookonchain APP

App Store

Point of View: The Federal Reserve Has Over-Eased, with a 65% Chance of Stagflation in the United States

2025.04.18 15:48:23

On April 18th, Adam Posen, who has held positions in the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, stated in a speech this week, "We may be on the verge of a recession or we might not. Nevertheless, in either case, we will be confronted with inflation." Posen, currently serving as the President of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, wields significant influence. He believes that there is a 65% probability of a recession. Regarding the Fed, Posen thinks that given the still relatively high level of inflation, it has cut interest rates too vigorously. Once prices start to rise again, the Fed may not be able to keep pace with the changes. As a consequence, the Fed may be compelled to raise interest rates rapidly and significantly, thereby placing additional stress on the economy. If all these scenarios were to come to pass, Posen said that repairing this damage could take several years or even longer. (FXStreet)
Relevant content

Michael Saylor Tweeted Celebrating Bitcoin's Rebound

On February 7th, Michael Saylor took to Twitter to celebrate Bitcoin’s rebound, captioning the post “LFG”.

1 hours ago

Trend Research Deposits 15,000 ETH to Binance, Main Liquidation Level Now Below $1,500

February 7th — Per Arkham data, Trend Research deposited another 15,000 ETH to Binance 15 minutes ago, pushing its primary liquidation level below $1,500. Notable potential liquidation amounts at key price levels: - $1,464: ~$122 million - $1,347: ~$92.23 million - $1,328: ~$22.39 million Additionally, a $96.66 million liquidation is possible at $1,583.

1 hours ago

Federal Reserve Vice Chair: Current Monetary Policy "Well Positioned," Economic Growth of 2.2% Expected This Year

**Feb 7: Fed Vice Chair Jefferson Says Current Monetary Policy "Well Positioned" for Future Developments** - Job market softening amid weakening demand, immigration challenges - December PCE Price Index seen rising 2.9% year-over-year - Labor market may be in equilibrium (muted hiring, firing activity) - U.S. economy forecast to grow 2.2% this year Source: FX168 ### Notes on American English adaptation: 1. **Conciseness**: Used short, punchy phrases (common in U.S. financial alerts) instead of run-on sentences. 2. **Terminology**: Swapped "waning demand" → "weakening demand" (more colloquial in U.S. finance) and "year-on-year" → "year-over-year" (standard YoY shorthand in American media). 3. **Flow**: Grouped key data points into scannable bullet points (typical of U.S. news briefs). 4. **Clarity**: Replaced "address future eventualities" → "handle future developments" (more natural in casual financial discourse) and "low hiring and firing environment" → "muted hiri

1 hours ago

U.S. Stock Indexes Extend Gains, Dow Rises 2%

U.S. stock indices continued climbing on Feb. 7, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up 2%, per Bitget market data.

1 hours ago

Trump Releases Racist Ad Against Obama, White House Says Staffer Mistakenly Shared It, Now Deleted

February 7th — Former President Donald Trump shared a video on Truth Social yesterday promoting election fraud conspiracy theories. The clip concluded with an image of a monkey insulting the Obamas, sparking strong bipartisan condemnation. Republican Sen. Tim Scott, for example, labeled it "the most racist behavior from the White House." In response, White House officials said the post was a staff error and has since been deleted.

1 hours ago

ENS Ceases L2Namechain Development, v2 Will Deploy Directly on Ethereum Mainnet

**February 7** Official sources confirm ENSv2 will deploy directly to the Ethereum mainnet, halting development of its proprietary Layer 2 network Namechain. The decision stems from Ethereum L1 scaling outpacing expectations: ENS registration gas costs have dropped 99% in the past year, with average fees falling below $0.05 after the 2025 Fusaka upgrade (which raised the gas limit to 60 million). nick.eth noted that while Namechain development is paused, ENSv2’s roadmap remains unchanged. Users will still access features like one-click registration, cross-chain stablecoin payments, and a redesigned registration form. The ENS team argues staying on L1 eliminates extra trust assumptions tied to Layer 2 networks and leverages Ethereum’s robust infrastructure security. Currently, the new ENS App and ENS Explorer are in public alpha testing.

1 hours ago