Point of View: The Federal Reserve Has Over-Eased, with a 65% Chance of Stagflation in the United States

On May 1st, Polymarket data shows: Bitcoin has a 91% chance of hitting $80k this year, a 57% probability of reaching $90k, 45% odds of dropping below $50k, and 33% likelihood of falling under $45k.

**TradeXYZ Integrates Pre-IPO Perpetual Contract Market into Docs (May 1)** Decentralized exchange TradeXYZ has officially added a Pre-IPO Perpetual Contract market to its product documentation as of May 1st. This lets users trade perpetual contracts linked to pre-listed firms (including unicorns), allowing them to participate in price discovery before the companies go public. Specific launch dates and supported asset lists remain unannounced. A Pre-IPO Perpetual Contract is a standalone derivative—not a stock or IPO allocation. It’s built to create a tradable market for valuation debates around unlisted companies, enabling investors to directly engage in price discovery ahead of an IPO.

On April 30, 2026, DeepMind announced the launch of its **AI Co-Clinician** research program, exploring how a multimodal AI agent can support medical decision-making under physician supervision. ### Key System Capabilities The tool enables real-time video/audio interaction to: - Conduct medical history interviews - Guide physical examinations - Provide initial diagnostic reasoning (e.g., rotator cuff injuries, tendinitis) - Offer care recommendations It explicitly identifies itself as a non-physician, with all suggestions intended for use *only* under physician oversight. ### Technical Features - **Real-time multimodal processing**: Analyzes gait, respiration, rashes, and other physical cues - **Dual-agent architecture**: - *Planner*: Monitors ongoing interactions - *Talker*: Enforces safety boundaries to avoid overstepping clinical limits - **NOHARM security framework**: Guards against unsafe recommendations ### Test Results - 97 out of 98 primary ca

May 1 — Nasdaq-listed cryptocurrency miner Riot Blockchain released its Q1 2026 financial and operational highlights today. Key takeaways: - Total quarterly revenue reached $167 million - Its newly expanded data center segment delivered $33.2 million in first-time revenue - Mined 1,473 bitcoins this quarter; all-in mining cost per coin ~$44,600 - Partner AMD exercised an option to add 25 MW of capacity, expanding Riot’s contracted hash rate to 50 MW - Strategic focus: ongoing transition to a data center operator - Bitcoin reserves held ~15,679 as of quarter-end ### Notes on U.S. language adaptation: 1. **Conciseness**: Used "Q1 2026" (standard U.S. finance shorthand) instead of "first-quarter 2026"; "as of quarter-end" (common in earnings reports) instead of "as of the end of the quarter". 2. **Terminology accuracy**: Added "Nasdaq-listed" (Riot’s actual exchange) for credibility; "all-in mining cost" (industry standard U.S. term) instead of "comprehensive mining

May 1 With Kevin Warsh expected to succeed Jerome Powell as Fed Chair next month, historical patterns suggest Bitcoin typically sees a few months of price correction after each new Fed chair takes office—followed by the start of a "true bull run." The market is closely watching whether this trend will hold, or if another dip is imminent. Meanwhile, the macro environment is sending mixed signals: former President Trump has already begun pushing for rate cuts. In an interview, Trump noted he’d be disappointed if Warsh doesn’t cut rates at the Fed’s first policy meeting under his tenure in June. Markets widely expect the Fed’s final meeting under Powell (this Wednesday) to leave rates unchanged. James Lavish, partner at Bitcoin Opportunity Fund, pointed out the Fed has added roughly $200 billion in U.S. Treasuries to its holdings over the past few months—signaling the official end of quantitative tightening (QT) and the start of "lightweight QE," a potential catalyst for risk ass

On May 1, the latest 13F filing from Eastern Harbor—Duan Bin’s fund—reveals the firm boosted its stake in CRCL by 31,700 shares in its most recent reporting period, with the holding valued at $3.02 million.