Point of View: The Federal Reserve Has Over-Eased, with a 65% Chance of Stagflation in the United States

On March 4, the U.S. February ADP Nonfarm Employment Change came in at 63K, beating expectations of 50K and the prior reading of 22K. (FXStreet)

On March 4th, official sources confirm Binance will list Fabric Protocol (ROBO) and launch trading for the ROBO/USDT, ROBO/USDC, and ROBO/TRY pairs on March 5, 2026, at 00:30 UTC+8.

On March 4th, per Onchain Lens data, a whale swapped 102 BTC (roughly $7.23 million) for 3,489 ETH at a rate of 0.02923 on ThorChain.

March 4th – According to The Block, cryptocurrency research and brokerage firm K33 says Bitcoin has entered one of its most oversold weekly ranges in history after months of persistent selling pressure, with no compelling reason to sell at current prices. K33 Research Director Vetle Lunde noted in a recent report: “If you want to be wrong, follow the crowd.” He pointed to pervasive pessimism in crypto derivatives markets, where investor positions are heavily skewed toward defense. Following six straight weeks of declines and five consecutive months of losses—marking one of Bitcoin’s longest-ever downward cycles—the weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI) recently hit 26.84, the third-lowest level on record. The report adds this downturn has been driven primarily by selling from long-term holders and institutional investors. In Q4 2025, the supply held for over six months saw a sharp drop; meanwhile, exchange-traded fund (ETF) investors sold nearly 100,000 BTC, and open interest for

March 4 — Goldman Sachs said Wednesday that a rapid deterioration in the Middle East situation would leave the Federal Reserve with room to cut interest rates twice this year, per Xinhua News.

U.S. officials said Wednesday the military carried out an attack on an Iranian vessel near Sri Lanka’s coast, Reuters reported March 4. The strike was conducted by a U.S. submarine, one official stated. Sri Lankan authorities reported rescuing 32 people from the ship at sea and recovering several bodies.