Lookonchain APP

App Store

Point of View: The Federal Reserve Has Over-Eased, with a 65% Chance of Stagflation in the United States

2025.04.18 15:48:23

On April 18th, Adam Posen, who has held positions in the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, stated in a speech this week, "We may be on the verge of a recession or we might not. Nevertheless, in either case, we will be confronted with inflation." Posen, currently serving as the President of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, wields significant influence. He believes that there is a 65% probability of a recession. Regarding the Fed, Posen thinks that given the still relatively high level of inflation, it has cut interest rates too vigorously. Once prices start to rise again, the Fed may not be able to keep pace with the changes. As a consequence, the Fed may be compelled to raise interest rates rapidly and significantly, thereby placing additional stress on the economy. If all these scenarios were to come to pass, Posen said that repairing this damage could take several years or even longer. (FXStreet)
Relevant content

Binance过去一个月净流入156亿美元,规模超过Robinhood平台全部资产

According to DefiLlama data, Binance recorded a net capital inflow of $15.6 billion over the past month, an amount exceeding Robinhood’s total platform assets of $14.325 billion. In the same period, OKX saw a monthly net inflow of around $1.7 billion, while Bybit’s stood at approximately $1.9 billion, meaning Binance’s inflow scale is roughly 8 to 9 times that of each of the two exchanges. Analysts note that beyond market conditions and its leading market position, Binance is accelerating its expansion into the TradFi (Traditional Finance) space. Recently, the platform has been continuously adding assets including gold, silver, popular U.S. stocks, ETFs, tokenized stocks, and pre-IPO offerings, enabling users to allocate multiple asset classes—such as crypto, precious metals, U.S. equities, and ETFs—in a single account without needing to transfer their crypto assets to traditional brokerages.

1 seconds ago

Rockchip's stock price hit the daily limit today, driven by strong sales of its open-source robot Microduck.

Pollen Robotics, a subsidiary of Hugging Face, recently launched the open-source bipedal robot Microduck, priced at $399 and standing about 25 cm tall. The robot supports functions including walking, object grasping, autonomous recovery after falling, and can even wear roller skates. Within six hours of its launch, its order value exceeded $1 million, and surpassed $2.6 million within 24 hours. At the $399 price point, this translates to roughly 6,500 pre-orders, with current new orders facing a delivery lead time of 4 to 6 months. Notably, Microduck’s main control unit uses China-based Rockchip’s RK3566 chip; its on-board computing platform operates 15 motors, a camera, LiDAR, and runs the robot’s 50Hz policy loop. After today’s A-share market opened, Rockchip’s stock price immediately hit the daily limit, with market analysts citing the strong sales of Hugging Face’s Microduck as a key catalyst for the stock movement.

1 seconds ago

MiniMax's stock price has surged over 92% from its recent low, pushing its total market capitalization to HK$124.956 billion.

Insight Beating AI Flash News: MiniMax’s stock price surged over 19% at one point today, currently trading at HK$357.8, with its total market capitalization rising to HK$124.956 billion. Since hitting a low of HK$186.2 on July 27, the stock has rallied 92.15% in roughly one month. Earlier reports stated that at MiniMax’s 2026 mid-year results conference, the firm disclosed that token consumption in July reached 20 times the level in January, Q2 revenue grew 81.8% quarter-on-quarter versus Q1, and August annual recurring revenue (ARR) further rose to over US$800 million. MiniMax’s first-half revenue totaled US$117 million, up 283.1% year-on-year, with the six-month figure already exceeding last year’s full-year revenue.

1 seconds ago

China’s leading AI chip firm has posted nearly 2000% revenue growth, while the high-end computing power supply sector is facing a full-chain shortage.

Beating AI News Flash: In August this year, leading Chinese AI chip companies released their semi-annual reports in succession. Last Friday, Biren Technology issued its financial report, reporting nearly 20-fold revenue growth. In addition, top players including Cambricon and Moore Threads also posted significant revenue increases. Behind the robust performance lies a severe shortage of high-end computing power. Currently, the high-end computing power supply chain faces a full-chain crunch, with some firms’ orders booked as far as three years ahead. This is a microcosm of the current booming high-end computing power market. Not only are downstream intelligent computing center resources in short supply, but orders in the midstream system integration segment are also being released intensively. According to industry research, domestic AI chip demand is projected to reach around 4 million units in 2026, while actual deliveries will total roughly 3 million units, leaving a production capacity gap of 1 million units. The industry widely believes that domestic chips are in a strong upward cycle in the high-end AI chip sector. Recently, multiple domestic chip firms have disclosed financial reports, with data showing a collective explosive growth trend.

1 seconds ago

South Korea's KOSPI index closed up 0.46%, with SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics rising more than 1%.

According to Bitget market data, the Nikkei 225 index closed down 93.63 points today, a 0.14% decline, at 66,311.93 points. South Korea’s KOSPI index closed up 31.22 points today, a 0.46% gain, at 6,820.1 points. The index fell more than 3% at one point during the trading session, while SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics each rose over 1%.

1 seconds ago

Four large addresses will receive $44.7 million worth of HYPE spot this week.

According to monitoring data from TradingBeats (formerly Hyperinsight), as of press time, roughly 2.5658 million HYPE tokens held by large stakers (each holding at least 100,000 HYPE) are in the staking withdrawal queue over the next six days, worth approximately $208 million at current prices. Of this amount, addresses linked to the protocol contract, Trade.xyz, and Hyperliquid Labs still make up the majority. Separately, four large external addresses hold a combined 551,100 HYPE, valued at $44.69 million, which will sequentially complete their 7-day waiting period and move back to spot accounts: - 0x023a (Auros Global): ~101,000 HYPE, expected to be credited on the evening of August 31, worth ~$8.19 million; - 0x251f: ~135,100 HYPE, expected to be credited on the evening of September 3, worth ~$10.96 million; - 0xc288: ~115,000 HYPE, expected to be credited on September 4, worth ~$9.33 million; - 0xe867 ("Million HYPE Staking Whale"): ~200,000 HYPE, expected to be credited on September 6, worth ~$16.22 million. These four addresses account for about 21.5% of the total large-scale inflows over the next six days. The remaining ~2.0147 million HYPE primarily involve addresses related to stakedHYPE, Kinetiq, Trade.xyz, and Hyperliquid Labs, with a single-day peak of ~1.34 million HYPE on September 5 (including 1.05 million from large stakers).

1 seconds ago

Popular tokens

BitcoinEthereumHyperliquidSolanaTRONBNBTetherAaveXRPPepeFartcoinOndoJupiterUniswapBonkPendleEthenaArbitrumAvalancheLidoChainlinkPolygonDogecoinCardano